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JBHT

🏭 Industrials

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I

Conservative #211Aggressive #392Low RiskModerate 76ML↑ 17pt
$219.25-1.64%
Day High$223.72
Day Low$217.69
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$20.9B
52W Low $12352W High $235
Market Cap
$21.1B
P/E Ratio
36.2
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
-5.8%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-21.6%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.37

Why This Score

JBHT scores 64.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (39%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (76/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.

No material penalties applied. JBHT ranks #211 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.4
Fundamental Score57.4
ML Score74.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.5
6 Month
83.3
Primary
1 Year
87.7

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
60.6
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-0.2
Final
64.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value55
Quality55
Growth35
Stability75
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)55.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.6% to +7.3%
Medium-term
+4.3% to +11.5%
Long-term
+7.0% to +16.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 74

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.9/100
Target Upside-10.4%
Coverage45 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-14.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.73)
Relative Strength vs Sector+27.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.1)
Momentum Quality+0.348
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P12
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P34
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P90
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 72 relative to sector peers72/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (72.0) + 9% ML (89.1) + SHAP(+3.8) = 77.3—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.6%. Max drawdown 12% (-1.5 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($21.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (ML 17pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #19 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
JBHT64.436.2-5.8%4.7%$21.1B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy45 analysts
Buy: 25Hold: 20
Price Target
$199consensus
Low $150Median $200High $245
-9.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in North America. It operates through five segments: Intermodal (JBI), Dedicated Contract Services (DCS), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS), Final Mile Services (FMS), and Truckload (JBT). The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions. It operates 104,973 pieces of company-owned trailing equipment; owns and maintains its chassis fleet of 85,649 units; and manages a fleet of 5,612 company-owned tractors, 582 independent contractor trucks, and 6,943 company drivers. The DCS segment designs, develops, and executes supply chain solutions that support various transportation networks. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 11,139 company-owned trucks, 544 customer-owned trucks, and 6 contractor trucks. The company also operates 21,069 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 7,753 customer-owned trailers. The ICS segment provides freight brokerage and transportation logistics solutions; flatbed, refrigerated, expedited, and less-than-truckload, as well as dry-van and intermodal solutions; an online multimodal marketplace; and logistics management for customers to outsource the transportation functions. The FMS segment offers delivery services through 1,272 company-owned trucks, 272 customer-owned trucks, and 19 independent contractor trucks; and 1,036 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 185 customer-owned trailers. The JBT segment provides dry-van freight services by utilizing tractors and trailers operating over roads and highways through 734 company-owned tractors and 11,172 company-owned trailers. It also transports or arranges for the transportation of freight, such as general merchandise, specialty consumer items, appliances, forest and paper products, food and beverages, building materials, soaps and cosmetics, automotive parts, agricultural products, electronics, and chemicals. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Lowell, Arkansas.

CEO
Shelley Simpson
Employees
33,646
Beta
1.26
Industry
Integrated Freight & Logistics
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
40.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.6%
High: $234.82
From 52W Low
+78.6%
Low: $122.79
Moving Averages
10-Day
$223.80
Below
20-Day
$221.00
Below
50-Day
$209.40
Above
200-Day
$165.30
Above
60-Day Support
$172.79
60-Day Resistance
$234.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+32.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.03%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.96x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
90
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$3.1B$3.1B$2.9B$2.9B
Gross Profit$340M$340M$514M$489M
Operating Income$246M$243M$197M$179M
Net Income$181M$171M$129M$118M
EPS (Diluted)$1.90$1.76$1.31$1.17
Gross Margin11.0%11.2%17.5%16.7%
Operating Margin8.0%7.9%6.7%6.1%
Net Margin5.8%5.6%4.4%4.0%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 36.2)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -10.4pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$255M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
86
$21.1B
Range
100
91% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 17/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$143.86$206.8435.9%Wide
2022$153.92$218.1834.5%Moderate
2023$163.66$209.2124.4%Narrow
2024$153.12$219.5135.6%Wide
2025$122.79$204.4349.9%Wide
3-Year Range
56.5%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
91.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.