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WASH

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.

Conservative #470Aggressive #218Low RiskMLโ†‘ 28pt
$33.69-4.02%
Day High$35.45
Day Low$33.43
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$641M
52W Low $2552W High $37
Market Cap
$650M
P/E Ratio
13.1
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
22.6%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
286.2%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.34

Why This Score

WASH scores 55.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 13.1x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (21%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.34) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score55.6
Fundamental Score56.8
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
61.4
6 Month
68.6
Primary
1 Year
72.2

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Low FCF/NI ratio (0.19) with 13.7% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backed
High accrual ratio (392.2%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
40
Grade Clow volume, low dollar volume
Base
51.6
SHAP
+3.5
Factors
+0.5
Final
55.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value83
Quality39
Growth93
Stability69
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)62.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.4% to +2.6%
Medium-term
-1.6% to +4.7%
Long-term
-1.7% to +6.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-2.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.90)
Relative Strength vs Sector+11.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.184
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P80
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P61
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 56th percentileP56
Blended score: 80% fundamental (57) + 20% ML (56) = 56.656.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Low FCF/NI ratio (0.19) with 13.7% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backed; High accrual ratio (392.2%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #154 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WASH55.613.122.6%13.7%$650M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold7 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 5Sell: 1
Price Target
$32consensus
Low $32Median $32High $32
-5.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for The Washington Trust Company, of Westerly that offers various banking and financial services to individuals and businesses. The company operates in two segments, Commercial Banking and Wealth Management Services. The Commercial Banking segment provides various commercial and retail lending products, such as commercial real estate loans, including commercial mortgages and construction loans; commercial and industrial loans; residential real estate loans that consist of mortgage and homeowner construction loans; and consumer loans comprising home equity loans and lines of credit, personal installment loans, and loans to individuals secured by general aviation aircraft. This segment also offers deposit accounts, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand deposits, NOW and savings accounts, money market and retirement deposit accounts, and time deposits, as well as debit card, automated teller machine, telephone banking, internet banking, mobile banking, remote deposit capture, and other cash management services. The Wealth Management Services segment provides investment management; financial planning; personal trust and estate services, such as trustee, personal representative, custodian, and guardian; and settlement of decedents' estates, as well as institutional trust services comprising custody and fiduciary services. This segment serves personal and institutional clients. The company also operates as a licensed broker-dealer; and offers variable annuities and college savings plans. As of December 31, 2021, it had 10 branch offices located in southern Rhode Island, 13 branch offices located in the greater Providence area in Rhode Island, and 1 branch office located in southeastern Connecticut. Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1800 and is headquartered in Westerly, Rhode Island.

CEO
Edward Otis Handy
Employees
618
Beta
0.86
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
29.9
Oversold
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.1%
High: $37.08
From 52W Low
+35%
Low: $24.95
Moving Averages
10-Day
$35.00
Below
20-Day
$35.50
Below
50-Day
$32.40
Above
200-Day
$29.40
Above
60-Day Support
$28.51
60-Day Resistance
$37.08
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 69/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+14.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.61%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
61
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$27.95
Stop Entry Now Target
$41.12
Entry Zone
$32.08 โ€“ $33.37
SMA50 pullback zone ($32.08โ€“$33.37)
Exit Target
$39.92
52-week high / +22% target ($39.92)
Stop Level
$28.81
Below SMA200 ($28.81)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.84Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$91M$99M$96M$95M
Gross Profit$53M$50M$54M$51M
Operating Income$21M$14M$17M$16M
Net Income$16M$11M$13M$12M
EPS (Diluted)$0.83$0.56$0.68$0.63
Gross Margin57.7%50.4%55.9%53.5%
Operating Margin22.6%14.1%17.9%16.5%
Net Margin17.5%11.0%13.8%12.8%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 13.1Revenue growth 22.6%Profit margin 13.7%

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 40/100Score impact: +4.2pt

Volume
24
123K avg/day
Dollar Vol
40
$4M/day
Float
46
19M shares
Mkt Cap
33
$650M
Range
84
49% spread
Composite Liquidity Score40/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 14/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$46.35$58.7323.6%Narrow
2022$45.60$60.9628.8%Moderate
2023$21.69$48.7876.9%Wide
2024$24.11$40.5950.9%Wide
2025$24.95$34.1331.1%Moderate
3-Year Range
76.9%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
98.1%
Outstanding Shares
19M
Bid-Ask Spread
49.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.