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49

VOD

πŸ“‘ Communication Services

Vodafone Group Plc

Conservative #588Aggressive #954Low RiskLow 30ML↑ 35pt
$15.86+1.02%
Day High$15.91
Day Low$15.74
Volume4.9M
Mkt Cap$38.9B
52W Low $852W High $16
Market Cap
$36.3B
P/E Ratio
17.1
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
2.0%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-444.1%
Profit Margin
-11.1%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.01

Why This Score

VOD scores 49.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (3.6% annualized) β€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.01) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.3 points) applied. VOD's rank of #588 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.1
Fundamental Score53.5
ML Score23.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.8
6 Month
78.0
Primary
1 Year
82.1

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.036 vol with only 2.0% revenue growth β€” stagnation, not safety

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
47.4
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-2.3
Final
49.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value70
Quality40
Growth35
Stability60
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)32.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)94.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)53.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.0% to +5.5%
Medium-term
+2.2% to +9.0%
Long-term
+3.3% to +12.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 23

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.0/100
Target Upside-26.0%
Coverage25 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.9%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+52.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.39)
Relative Strength vs Sector+85.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.826
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate β€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P37
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P92
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.8pt (features align with model priorities)β€”
Blend: 91% fund (47.2) + 9% ML (82.3) + SHAP(+3.8) = 54.2β€”
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)β€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 3.6%. Stability bonus of +12.0 pointsLow
Momentum mean-reversion: -0.3pt (85% 12m momentum)β€”
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($36.3B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.9pt (conviction=30)β€”
Divergence penalty: -3.8pt (ML 35pt higher)β€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -16 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: False stability: 0.0 vol with only 2.0% revenue growth β€” stagnation, not safetyFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services β€” Rank #23 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
VOD49.117.12.0%-11.1%$36.3B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy25 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 7Sell: 5
Price Target
$12consensus
Low $12Median $12High $12
-27.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company engages in telecommunication services in Europe and internationally. The company offers mobile services that enable customers to call, text, and access data; fixed line services, including broadband, television (TV) offerings, and voice; and convergence services under the GigaKombi and Vodafone One names to customers. It also provides value added services, such as Internet of Things (IoT) comprising logistics and fleet management, smart metering, insurance, cloud, and security services; and automotive and health solutions. In addition, the company offers M-Pesa, an African payment platform, which provides money transfer, financial, and business and merchant payment services; and various services to operators through its partner market agreements. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company has a strategic partnership with Open Fiber. As of March 31, 2022, it had approximately 323 million mobile customers, 28 million fixed broadband customers, and 22 million TV customers. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.

CEO
AntΓ³nio Rui de Lacerda Carrapatoso
Employees
93,000
Beta
0.33
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.3%
High: $15.91
From 52W Low
+97%
Low: $8.05
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.60
Above
20-Day
$15.30
Above
50-Day
$14.20
Above
200-Day
$12.00
Above
60-Day Support
$12.12
60-Day Resistance
$15.91
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+32.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+13.5%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.97x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q4 2025Q2 2024Q4 2024
Revenue$19.6B$19.2B$18.3B$14.8B
Gross Profit$6.4B$6.4B$6.2B$5.6B
Operating Income$2.2B$-2.8B$2.4B$2.0B
Net Income$829M$-5.2B$1.1B$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)$0.34$-2.00$0.39$0.55
Gross Margin32.5%33.2%33.7%37.9%
Operating Margin11.0%-14.6%13.0%13.6%
Net Margin4.2%-27.3%5.8%10.1%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 17.1

Tradability FilterGrade A β€” 99/100Score impact: +1.3pt

Volume
100
4.8M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$74M/day
Float
100
2.3B shares
Mkt Cap
94
$36.3B
Range
100
98% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 14/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$14.53$20.3633.4%Moderate
2022$9.94$19.0562.8%Wide
2023$8.11$12.5342.8%Wide
2024$8.02$10.3925.7%Moderate
2025$8.00$13.3049.8%Wide
3-Year Range
49.8%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
stagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
94.5%
Outstanding Shares
2.5B
Bid-Ask Spread
98.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.