The Simply Good Foods Company
SMPL scores 45.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
No material penalties applied. SMPL ranks #745 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMPL | 45.7 | 18.4 | 9.0% | 6.3% | $1.6B |
| MNST | 84.4 | 46.3 | 4.9% | 20.1% | $84.6B |
| COCO | 77.4 | 43.1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | $3.3B |
| CALM | 76.7 | 3.5 | 83.2% | 27.4% | $4.1B |
| LAUR | 76.3 | 25.8 | 5.5% | 18.9% | $4.9B |
| WMT | 71.5 | 46.7 | 5.1% | 2.9% | $1.0T |
| CCEP | 68.9 | 25.1 | 11.7% | 6.9% | $49.7B |
| PSMT | 66.5 | 31.5 | 7.2% | 2.7% | $4.8B |
| COST | 66.2 | 54.6 | 8.2% | 2.9% | $441.9B |
| PEP | 65.1 | 27.6 | 2.3% | 8.8% | $230.9B |
| COKE | 64.6 | 23.1 | 3.7% | 9.2% | $16.7B |
| PRDO | 64.0 | 13.1 | 24.2% | 18.9% | $2.2B |
| SFD | 63.8 | 11.3 | -3.4% | 5.5% | $9.6B |
| OLLI | 62.5 | 31.4 | 8.0% | 8.8% | $6.7B |
| FIZZ | 61.2 | 18.6 | 0.8% | 15.6% | $3.5B |
| DLTR | 61.0 | 23.9 | 4.8% | 5.9% | $25.7B |
| Sector Average | 51.1 | 33.1 | 10.6% | -3.2% | โ |
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, pizza, protein chips, recipes, and confectionery products, as well as licensed frozen meals under the Atkins, Atkins Endulge, and Quest brand names. The company distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug channels, club stores, convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including atkins.com, questnutrition.com, and amazon.com. The Simply Good Foods Company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Stage 4 downtrend โ price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $340M | $369M | $381M | $360M |
| Gross Profit | $110M | $122M | $134M | $126M |
| Operating Income | $38M | $49M | $65M | $57M |
| Net Income | $25M | $-12M | $41M | $37M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.26 | $-0.12 | $0.40 | $0.36 |
| Gross Margin | 32.3% | 33.1% | 35.3% | 35.0% |
| Operating Margin | 11.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| Net Margin | 7.4% | -3.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $28.00 | $42.37 | 40.8% | Wide |
| 2022 | $29.21 | $45.77 | 44.2% | Wide |
| 2023 | $31.06 | $41.29 | 28.3% | Moderate |
| 2024 | $30.00 | $43.00 | 35.6% | Wide |
| 2025 | $18.45 | $40.01 | 73.8% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.