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50

SBGI

๐Ÿ“ก Communication Services

Sinclair, Inc.

Conservative #602Aggressive #335Low RiskMLโ†‘ 22pt
$16.34+0.31%
Day High$16.38
Day Low$15.58
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.1B
52W Low $1252W High $18
Market Cap
$1.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
13.2%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
206.5%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
12.23

Why This Score

SBGI scores 50.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (10%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 12.23) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. SBGI's rank of #602 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score50.9
Fundamental Score48.8
ML Score49.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
75.2
6 Month
84.1
Primary
1 Year
88.5

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-1964.3%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 12.2x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
65
Grade B
Base
46.9
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.1
Final
50.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

58AVG
Value50
Quality19
Growth83
Stability64
Investment72

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)51.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+8.8% to +14.7%
Medium-term
+13.6% to +22.6%
Long-term
+20.6% to +33.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 49

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+3.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.67)
Relative Strength vs Sector+10.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.5)
Momentum Quality+0.092
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P36
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 49th percentileP49
Blended score: 80% fundamental (49) + 20% ML (49) = 48.848.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 10% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-1964.3%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 12.2x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services โ€” Rank #24 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SBGI50.9N/A13.2%-1.3%$1.1B
GOOGL83.028.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA79.275.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH75.612.83.4%15.8%$7.5B
META72.327.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO70.610.12.5%4.4%$12.1B
JOYY68.21.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
BZ66.921.923.6%21.5%$7.5B
NXST65.814.49.6%13.4%$7.5B
CMCSA62.65.9-0.0%16.2%$113.2B
SIRI62.59.5-1.6%9.4%$7.1B
EVER60.210.473.7%8.4%$615M
TMUS60.222.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS60.212.62.4%12.2%$14.9B
NFLX59.730.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
VEON57.76.08.3%15.2%$3.9B
Sector Average44.466.015.8%-116.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Sinclair, Inc. owns and operates as a broadcast television company. The Company engages consumers on multiple platforms with relevant and compelling news, entertainment, and sports content, as well as provides advertisers and businesses efficient means and value to connect with our mass audiences.

CEO
Christopher S. Ripley
Employees
7,200
Beta
0.95
Industry
Entertainment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
70.7
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.6%
High: $17.88
From 52W Low
+37.4%
Low: $11.89
Moving Averages
10-Day
$14.90
Above
20-Day
$14.60
Above
50-Day
$15.00
Above
200-Day
$14.50
Above
60-Day Support
$13.38
60-Day Resistance
$17.21
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 29/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
+12.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.41%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.21x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 80%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid RSI overbought
$14.26
Stop Entry Now Target
$16.83
No Entry
โ€”
No new entry โ€” distribution phase
Exit Target
$16.34
Reduce at current price ($16.34)
Stop Level
$14.70
Below SMA50 ($14.7)

Stage 3 distribution โ€” institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$836M$773M$784M$776M
Gross Profit$339M$360M$364M$358M
Operating Income$80M$58M$21M$14M
Net Income$109M$-1M$-64M$-156M
EPS (Diluted)$1.55$-0.01$-0.92$-2.30
Gross Margin40.6%46.6%46.4%46.1%
Operating Margin9.6%7.5%2.7%1.8%
Net Margin13.0%-0.1%-8.2%-20.1%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesRevenue growth 13.2%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 65/100Score impact: -13.1pt

Volume
68
385K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
84
61M shares
Mkt Cap
40
$1.1B
Range
85
50% spread
Composite Liquidity Score65/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$22.44$39.6055.3%Wide
2022$14.37$31.0473.4%Wide
2023$9.39$22.4181.9%Wide
2024$11.13$18.4549.5%Wide
2025$11.89$17.8840.2%Wide
3-Year Range
81.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
86.9%
Outstanding Shares
70M
Bid-Ask Spread
50.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.