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26

RKLB

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

Conservative #1167Aggressive #293Moderate Risk
$69.10-4.89%
Day High$69.59
Day Low$64.10
Volume25.7M
Mkt Cap$36.9B
52W Low $1552W High $100
Market Cap
$35.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
78.3%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-4.2%
Profit Margin
-35.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.40

Why This Score

RKLB scores 26.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (96/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (229%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Above-average volatility (25.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score26.2
Fundamental Score30.0
ML Score33.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
30.9
6 Month
34.5
Primary
1 Year
36.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth โ€” negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.1%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
22.6
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
-0.1
Conviction
+3.1
Final
26.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

42AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth67
Stability61
Investment33

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)55.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)74.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.7% to -2.0%
Medium-term
-9.2% to -2.2%
Long-term
-11.7% to -2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 33

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.2/100
Target Upside+18.8%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+2.3%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+190.4%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.17)
Relative Strength vs Sector+218.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.533
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P95
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P20
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+1.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 30 relative to sector peers30/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 33th percentileP33
Blended score: 80% fundamental (30) + 20% ML (33) = 30.630.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 33% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 229% โ†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +3.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Speculative: SPEC_GROWTH (3.0pt penalty)Speculative

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #114 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RKLB26.2N/A78.3%-35.6%$35.3B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy18 analysts
Buy: 12Hold: 5Sell: 1
Price Target
$83consensus
Low $69Median $83High $105
+20.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Rocket Lab USA, Inc., a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft engineering and design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions; and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets. It also designs, manufactures, and sells Electron small orbital launch vehicles and the Photon satellite platforms, as well as developing the Neutron 8-ton payload class launch vehicle; conducts remote launch activities; and designs and manufactures a range of components and subsystems for the Photon family of spacecraft and broader merchant spacecraft components. The company serves commercial, aerospace prime contractors, and government customers. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

CEO
Peter Beck
Employees
2,100
Beta
2.17
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-30.6%
High: $99.58
From 52W Low
+369.7%
Low: $14.71
Moving Averages
10-Day
$71.10
Below
20-Day
$72.10
Below
50-Day
$76.70
Below
200-Day
$52.90
Above
60-Day Support
$40.42
60-Day Resistance
$99.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+30.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+42.27%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.68x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$50.28
Stop Entry Now Target
$102.57
Entry Zone
$75.93 โ€“ $79.00
SMA50 pullback zone ($75.93โ€“$79)
Exit Target
$99.58
52-week high / +22% target ($99.58)
Stop Level
$51.84
Below SMA200 ($51.84)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.86Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$180M$155M$144M$123M
Gross Profit$68M$57M$46M$35M
Operating Income$-51M$-59M$-60M$-59M
Net Income$-53M$-18M$-66M$-61M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.09$-0.03$-0.13$-0.12
Gross Margin38.0%37.0%32.1%28.8%
Operating Margin-28.4%-38.0%-41.3%-48.3%
Net Margin-29.5%-11.8%-46.0%-49.5%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 78.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 99/100Score impact: -39.3pt

Volume
100
23.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.7B/day
Float
100
487M shares
Mkt Cap
94
$35.3B
Range
100
577% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.50$21.3476.8%Wide
2022$3.48$12.33112%Wide
2023$3.62$8.0575.9%Wide
2024$3.47$28.80157%Wide
2025$14.71$79.83137.8%Wide
3-Year Range
183.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
91.2%
Outstanding Shares
534M
Bid-Ask Spread
577.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.