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VRSK

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Verisk Analytics, Inc.

Conservative #344Aggressive #316Moderate Risk
$207.57+2.43%
Day High$209.49
Day Low$200.38
Volume3.3M
Mkt Cap$28.9B
52W Low $16552W High $323
Market Cap
$28.0B
P/E Ratio
27.8
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
7.5%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
23.7%
Profit Margin
33.0%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
32.43

Why This Score

VRSK scores 60.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 949.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 33.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (96/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (81/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 32.43) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-4.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.6
Fundamental Score52.1
ML Score96.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
65.1
6 Month
72.7
Primary
1 Year
76.5

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 32.4x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
31
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
60.9
SHAP
+2.0
Factors
+1.2
Conviction
+0.8
Divergence
-4.3
Final
60.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

68AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth75
Stability35
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)37.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.6% to +2.4%
Medium-term
-2.0% to +4.1%
Long-term
-2.4% to +5.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 96

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage25 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score30.7/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.83)
Relative Strength vs Sector-49.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.224
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P60
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P70
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 96th percentileP96
Blended score: 80% fundamental (52) + 20% ML (96) = 60.960.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 42% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +2.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +0.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -4.3pt (ML 44pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 32.4x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #31 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
VRSK60.627.87.5%33.0%$28.0B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Verisk Analytics, Inc. provides data analytics solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides predictive analytics and decision support solutions to customers in rating, underwriting, claims, catastrophe and weather risk, global risk analytics, natural resources intelligence, economic forecasting, commercial banking and finance, and various other fields. It operates in three segments: Insurance, Energy and Specialized Markets, and Financial Services. The Insurance segment focuses on the prediction of loss, selection and pricing of risk, and compliance with their reporting requirements for property and casualty customers, as well as develops machine learned and artificially intelligent models to forecast scenarios and produce standard and customized analytics that help its customers to manage their businesses, including detecting fraud before and after a loss event, and quantifying losses. The Energy and Specialized Markets segment provides data analytics for the natural resources value chain, including energy, chemicals, metals, mining, power, and renewables sectors; research and consulting services focusing on supporting customer capital allocation decisions, asset valuation and benchmarking, commodity markets, and corporate analysis; and consultancy services in the areas of business environment, business improvement, business strategies, commercial advisory, and transaction support, as well as analysis and advice on assets, companies, governments, and markets. The Financial Services segment offers benchmarking, decisioning algorithms, business intelligence, and customized analytic services to financial institutions, payment networks and processors, alternative lenders, regulators, and merchants. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey.

CEO
Lee Shavel
Employees
7,800
Beta
0.80
Industry
Consulting Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
73.5
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35.7%
High: $322.92
From 52W Low
+26.1%
Low: $164.6
Moving Averages
10-Day
$188.80
Above
20-Day
$188.30
Above
50-Day
$207.50
Above
200-Day
$251.20
Below
60-Day Support
$164.6
60-Day Resistance
$227.16
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 12/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-17.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.1%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.39x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$779M$768M$773M$753M
Gross Profit$464M$539M$543M$522M
Operating Income$340M$346M$354M$330M
Net Income$197M$226M$253M$232M
EPS (Diluted)$1.42$1.61$1.81$1.65
Gross Margin59.6%70.1%70.3%69.3%
Operating Margin43.6%45.0%45.9%43.8%
Net Margin25.3%29.4%32.8%30.8%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsProfit margin 33.0%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: -8.8pt

Volume
100
1.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$299M/day
Float
100
138M shares
Mkt Cap
88
$28.0B
Range
100
96% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 3/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$159.79$231.5736.7%Wide
2022$156.05$227.8937.4%Wide
2023$169.74$249.2638%Wide
2024$217.34$296.5830.8%Moderate
2025$197.00$322.9248.4%Wide
3-Year Range
62.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.7%
Outstanding Shares
139M
Bid-Ask Spread
96.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.