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52

QNST

๐Ÿ“ก Communication Services

QuinStreet, Inc.

Conservative #567Aggressive #385Moderate Risk
$11.72+1.03%
Day High$11.76
Day Low$11.22
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$668M
52W Low $1052W High $20
Market Cap
$656M
P/E Ratio
10.5
Sector avg: 66.0
Rev Growth
78.3%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
115.0%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

QNST scores 52.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 24.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Attractively valued at 10.5x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (6.0% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. QNST's rank of #567 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.3
Fundamental Score52.1
ML Score43.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.7
6 Month
76.8
Primary
1 Year
80.9

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade B
Base
48.3
SHAP
+1.5
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.8
Final
52.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

82AVG
Value82
Quality54
Growth100
Stability73
Investment100

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)76.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)39.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)77.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.5% to +6.1%
Medium-term
+2.9% to +9.9%
Long-term
+4.4% to +13.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 43

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score55.8/100
Target Upside+75.0%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-14.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.66)
Relative Strength vs Sector-42.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.268
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P98
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P75
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P66
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+1.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 43th percentileP43
Blended score: 80% fundamental (52) + 20% ML (43) = 50.350.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 37% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services โ€” Rank #22 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
QNST52.310.578.3%5.6%$656M
GOOGL83.028.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA79.275.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH75.612.83.4%15.8%$7.5B
META72.327.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO70.610.12.5%4.4%$12.1B
JOYY68.21.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
BZ66.921.923.6%21.5%$7.5B
NXST65.814.49.6%13.4%$7.5B
CMCSA62.65.9-0.0%16.2%$113.2B
SIRI62.59.5-1.6%9.4%$7.1B
EVER60.210.473.7%8.4%$615M
TMUS60.222.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS60.212.62.4%12.2%$14.9B
NFLX59.730.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
VEON57.76.08.3%15.2%$3.9B
Sector Average44.466.015.8%-116.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

QuinStreet, Inc., an online performance marketing company, provides customer acquisition services for its clients in the United States and internationally. The company offers online marketing services, such as qualified clicks, leads, calls, applications, and customers through its websites or third-party publishers. It serves financial and home services industries. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

CEO
Douglas Valenti
Employees
899
Beta
0.68
Industry
Advertising Agencies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
43.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-40.7%
High: $19.75
From 52W Low
+13.9%
Low: $10.29
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.30
Above
20-Day
$11.60
Above
50-Day
$13.40
Below
200-Day
$14.80
Below
60-Day Support
$10.29
60-Day Resistance
$16.32
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 12/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-20.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.99%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.23x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$288M$286M$262M$270M
Gross Profit$28M$27M$28M$28M
Operating Income$1M$5M$4M$5M
Net Income$50M$5M$3M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.87$0.08$0.06$0.08
Gross Margin9.6%9.4%10.6%10.3%
Operating Margin0.4%1.7%1.5%1.8%
Net Margin17.4%1.6%1.2%1.6%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 10.5Revenue growth 78.3%Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.5)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 72/100Score impact: +4.6pt

Volume
88
708K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
82
54M shares
Mkt Cap
33
$656M
Range
100
103% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$13.23$24.9461.4%Wide
2022$8.28$18.5976.7%Wide
2023$6.79$18.1891.2%Wide
2024$11.22$26.2780.3%Wide
2025$12.98$25.5065.1%Wide
3-Year Range
117.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
95.4%
Outstanding Shares
57M
Bid-Ask Spread
103.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.