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CPB

🛒 Consumer Defensive

The Campbell's Company

Conservative #608Aggressive #425Low RiskF↑ 47pt
$26.95+0.34%
Day High$27.23
Day Low$26.82
Volume6.2M
Mkt Cap$8.0B
52W Low $2652W High $44
Market Cap
$8.0B
P/E Ratio
15.2
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
6.4%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
6.2%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
1.85

Why This Score

CPB scores 50.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 15.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Low volatility (5.2% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.85) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-3.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score50.7
Fundamental Score42.4
ML Score83.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
3.4
6 Month
3.8
Primary
1 Year
4.0

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
33
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
46
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
50.5
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-3.8
Final
50.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

65AVG
Value85
Quality55
Growth60
Stability45
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)51.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)70.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.3% to +3.1%
Medium-term
-1.5% to +5.4%
Long-term
-1.6% to +7.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 83

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score46.4/100
Target Upside+10.9%
Coverage28 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score32.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.6%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector-32.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.3)
Momentum Quality-0.164
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
28%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P56
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P75
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P87
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 83th percentileP83
Blended score: 80% fundamental (42) + 20% ML (83) = 50.550.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 28% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.8pt (ML 41pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive — Rank #31 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CPB50.715.26.4%5.9%$8.0B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Campbell Soup Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum baby food and snacks; V8 juices and beverages; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products; Milano cookies and Goldfish crackers; and Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory Pretzel Crisps, Pop Secret popcorn, Emerald nuts, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.

CEO
Mick J. Beekhuizen
Employees
14,400
Beta
-0.04
Industry
Packaged Foods
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
33.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-38.5%
High: $43.85
From 52W Low
+5.2%
Low: $25.62
Moving Averages
10-Day
$27.30
Below
20-Day
$27.90
Below
50-Day
$27.50
Below
200-Day
$30.80
Below
60-Day Support
$25.62
60-Day Resistance
$30.65
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 14/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-12.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.34%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
—
No entry — active downtrend
Exit Target
—
Exit position if held
Stop Level
—
No stop — exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend — price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$2.7B$2.3B$2.5B$2.7B
Gross Profit$792M$705M$728M$819M
Operating Income$337M$295M$308M$354M
Net Income$194M$145M$66M$173M
EPS (Diluted)$0.65$0.49$0.22$0.58
Gross Margin29.6%30.4%29.4%30.5%
Operating Margin12.6%12.7%12.4%13.2%
Net Margin7.2%6.2%2.7%6.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 15.2Valuation below sector median (P/E 15.2)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -2.9pt

Volume
100
7.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$190M/day
Float
100
191M shares
Mkt Cap
75
$8.0B
Range
96
71% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 15/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$39.76$52.2327.1%Moderate
2022$41.73$57.7832.3%Moderate
2023$37.94$57.2440.6%Wide
2024$40.26$52.8127%Moderate
2025$27.64$43.8545.3%Wide
3-Year Range
69.7%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
64.2%
Outstanding Shares
298M
Bid-Ask Spread
71.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.