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OFLX

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Omega Flex, Inc.

Conservative #880Aggressive #1369Low Risk
$35.93-0.94%
Day High$36.34
Day Low$35.23
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$363M
52W Low $2652W High $42
Market Cap
$379M
P/E Ratio
23.6
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-8.8%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-13.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Why This Score

OFLX scores 40.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 19.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.06) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, OFLX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.1
Fundamental Score61.2
ML Score61.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.2
6 Month
78.5
Primary
1 Year
82.6

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Low FCF/NI ratio (0.15) with 16.1% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backed

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low float
Base
36.1
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+2.0
Final
40.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

59AVG
Value61
Quality66
Growth21
Stability78
Investment67

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)53.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)70.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.2% to +4.6%
Medium-term
+0.8% to +7.5%
Long-term
+1.4% to +10.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 61

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score41.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.84)
Relative Strength vs Sector-2.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.9)
Momentum Quality+0.062
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
29%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P49
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P63
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
Blended score: 80% fundamental (61) + 20% ML (61) = 61.261.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 22% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +1.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Low FCF/NI ratio (0.15) with 16.1% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backedFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #90 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OFLX40.123.6-8.8%16.1%$379M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Omega Flex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells flexible metal hoses and accessories in North America and internationally. It offers flexible gas piping for use in residential and commercial buildings, as well as its fittings; and corrugated medical tubing for use in hospitals, ambulatory care centers, dental, physician and veterinary clinics, laboratories, and other facilities. The company sells its products under the TracPipe, CounterStrike, AutoSnap, AutoFlare, DoubleTrac, DEF-Trac, and MediTrac brand names. It serves various markets, including construction, manufacturing, transportation, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, and other industries. The company sells its products through independent sales representatives, distributors, original equipment manufacturers, and direct sales, as well as through its website. The company was formerly known as Tofle America, Inc. and changed its name to Omega Flex, Inc. in 1996. Omega Flex, Inc. was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Exton, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Dean W. Rivest
Employees
175
Beta
0.45
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
39.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.6%
High: $42.08
From 52W Low
+40.5%
Low: $25.58
Moving Averages
10-Day
$36.60
Below
20-Day
$36.40
Below
50-Day
$33.10
Above
200-Day
$32.10
Above
60-Day Support
$26.84
60-Day Resistance
$37.92
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 34/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+11.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.86%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.8x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
33
Confidence: 70%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
$31.47
Stop Entry Now Target
$37.01
No Entry
โ€”
No new entry โ€” distribution phase
Exit Target
$35.93
Reduce at current price ($35.93)
Stop Level
$32.44
Below SMA50 ($32.44)

Stage 3 distribution โ€” institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$24M$26M$23M$27M
Gross Profit$15M$15M$14M$17M
Operating Income$4M$5M$4M$6M
Net Income$4M$4M$4M$5M
EPS (Diluted)$0.37$0.41$0.35$0.46
Gross Margin60.2%60.4%60.3%61.5%
Operating Margin17.3%18.5%17.4%21.4%
Net Margin15.2%16.3%15.3%17.4%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 23.6Profit margin 16.1%

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -27.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
41K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$1M/day
Float
0
4M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$379M
Range
0
65% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low floatlow dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$109.00$179.4948.9%Wide
2022$77.28$161.3970.5%Wide
2023$63.43$128.5167.8%Wide
2024$40.38$76.5061.8%Wide
2025$25.58$43.1851.2%Wide
3-Year Range
133.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
34.7%
Outstanding Shares
10M
Bid-Ask Spread
65.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.