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FSTR

๐Ÿญ Industrials

L.B. Foster Company

Conservative #1035Aggressive #895Low RiskMLโ†‘ 22pt
$30.73-3.09%
Day High$31.45
Day Low$30.63
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$319M
52W Low $1752W High $33
Market Cap
$321M
P/E Ratio
69.7
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-2.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
2833.5%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.48

Why This Score

FSTR scores 32.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (15%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 69.7x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, FSTR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score32.3
Fundamental Score51.6
ML Score60.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
76.0
6 Month
84.9
Primary
1 Year
89.4

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-686.2%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
40
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
28.3
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Final
32.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value32
Quality26
Growth68
Stability85
Investment90

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)41.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)49.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.8% to +8.7%
Medium-term
+6.3% to +13.9%
Long-term
+9.8% to +20.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 60

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.1/100
Target Upside-30.3%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score39.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.71)
Relative Strength vs Sector+4.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.4)
Momentum Quality+0.144
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P23
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P10
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P86
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 60th percentileP60
Blended score: 80% fundamental (52) + 20% ML (60) = 53.353.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 5% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-686.2%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #103 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FSTR32.369.7-2.4%1.0%$321M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold7 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 5
Price Target
$21consensus
Low $21Median $21High $21
-31.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

L.B. Foster Company provides engineered and manufactured products and services for the building and infrastructure projects worldwide. The company's Rail, Technologies, and Services segment offers new rail to passenger and short line freight railroads, industrial companies, and rail contractors; used rails; rail accessories, including track spikes and anchors, bolts, angle bars, tie plates, and other products; power rail, direct fixation fasteners, coverboards, and special accessories; and trackwork products, as well as engineers and manufactures insulated rail joints and related accessories. This segment also provides friction management products and application systems, railroad condition monitoring systems and equipment, wheel impact load detection systems, wayside data collection and management systems, track fasteners, and engineered concrete railroad ties; and aftermarket services. Its Precast Concrete Products segment offers a range of specialty precast concrete products, such as sound walls, burial vaults, bridge beams, box culverts, septic tanks, and other custom pre-stressed products for use in transportation and general infrastructure markets. This segment also manufactures precast concrete buildings for use as restrooms, concession stands, and protective storage buildings in national, state, and municipal parks. The company's Steel Products and Measurement segment provides bridge decking, bridge railing, structural steel fabrications, expansion joints, bridge forms, and other products for highway construction and repair. This segment also produces threaded pipe products for industrial water well, irrigation, and oil and gas markets, as well as offers pipe coatings for oil and gas pipelines and utilities, and precision measurement systems for the oil and gas market. The company markets its products directly, as well as through a network of agents. L.B. Foster Company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

CEO
John F. Kasel
Employees
1,057
Beta
0.99
Industry
Railroads
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.8%
High: $32.63
From 52W Low
+79.1%
Low: $17.16
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.20
Below
20-Day
$31.20
Below
50-Day
$29.60
Above
200-Day
$25.60
Above
60-Day Support
$26.04
60-Day Resistance
$32.63
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 83/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+20%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.14%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$24.34
Stop Entry Now Target
$37.56
Entry Zone
$29.30 โ€“ $30.49
SMA50 pullback zone ($29.3โ€“$30.49)
Exit Target
$36.47
52-week high / +22% target ($36.47)
Stop Level
$25.09
Below SMA200 ($25.09)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.37Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$138M$144M$98M$128M
Gross Profit$31M$31M$20M$29M
Operating Income$8M$8M$-2M$3M
Net Income$4M$3M$-2M$-242,000
EPS (Diluted)$0.40$0.27$-0.20$-0.02
Gross Margin22.5%21.5%20.6%22.3%
Operating Margin6.0%5.3%-2.0%2.4%
Net Margin3.1%2.0%-2.2%-0.2%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 69.7)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -40.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
22K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$670K/day
Float
0
8M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$321M
Range
0
90% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.62$19.4742.7%Wide
2022$9.00$16.1556.9%Wide
2023$9.62$22.5680.4%Wide
2024$14.23$30.7773.5%Wide
2025$17.16$29.4252.6%Wide
3-Year Range
104.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
81.4%
Outstanding Shares
10M
Bid-Ask Spread
90.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.