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45

SHMD

๐Ÿญ Industrials

SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares

Conservative #747Aggressive #587Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 34pt
$6.46-4.15%
Day High$6.74
Day Low$6.22
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$278M
52W Low $252W High $11
Market Cap
$295M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
40.9%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

SHMD scores 45.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 40.9%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -2.35) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (190%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (26.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -14.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, SHMD would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.6
Fundamental Score56.3
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
37.9
6 Month
42.4
Primary
1 Year
44.6

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
40
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
45.0
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
-1.6
Final
45.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value50
Quality64
Growth50
Stability48
Investment62

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)76.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.1% to +0.3%
Medium-term
-6.2% to +0.4%
Long-term
-8.2% to +0.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.9%
6M Momentum+1.8%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.0%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)
Relative Strength vs Sector+179.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.257
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
22%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P34
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
Blended score: 80% fundamental (56) + 20% ML (55) = 56.056.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 34% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 190% โ†’ -3.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #73 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SHMD45.6N/AN/A40.9%$295M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

SCHMID Group N.V. develops and manufactures equipment and process solutions for electronics, photovoltaics, glass, and energy systems in Germany and internationally. The company offers electronics equipment, ET board, vertical and horizontal wet process, vacuum metallization and tech, plating, chemical mechanical polishing, and automation system solutions; and systems and process solutions for manufacturing and processing photovoltaic products, such as wafers, cells, modules, and thin films, as well as turnkey production lines. It also provides maintenance, after sales, customer training, and on-site services, as well as offers spare parts. The company was founded in 1864 and is based in Freudenstadt, Germany.

CEO
Christian Schmid
Employees
800
Beta
-0.67
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
21.4
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-39.3%
High: $10.65
From 52W Low
+223%
Low: $2
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.30
Below
20-Day
$8.40
Below
50-Day
$7.60
Below
200-Day
$4.30
Above
60-Day Support
$3.87
60-Day Resistance
$10.65
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+50.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+38.39%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
94
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$4.08
Stop Entry Now Target
$10.97
Entry Zone
$7.52 โ€“ $7.83
SMA50 pullback zone ($7.52โ€“$7.83)
Exit Target
$10.65
52-week high / +22% target ($10.65)
Stop Level
$4.21
Below SMA200 ($4.21)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.86Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q2 2024Q4 2023Q2 2023
Revenue$18M$15M$50M$0
Gross Profit$-2M$3M$13,816$0
Operating Income$-16M$-35M$3M$-4M
Net Income$-12M$-37M$2M$-4M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.24$-1.12$0.04$-0.13
Gross Margin-10.2%19.0%0.0%N/A
Operating Margin-85.7%-236.1%5.4%N/A
Net Margin-62.5%-252.3%3.1%N/A

Why This Stock

IndustrialsProfit margin 40.9%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 40/100Score impact: -26.1pt

Volume
65
352K avg/day
Dollar Vol
18
$2M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
10
$295M
Range
100
433% spread
Composite Liquidity Score40/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$1.98$6.13102.3%Wide
2025$1.86$6.71113.2%Wide
3-Year Range
113.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
433.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.