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MLCIL

🏦 Financial Services

Mount Logan Capital Inc. 8.00% Notes Due 2031

Conservative #1435Aggressive #1397Moderate RiskF↑ 40pt
$23.61-0.17%
Day High$23.92
Day Low$23.55
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$2.0B
52W Low $2352W High $25
Market Cap
$2.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

MLCIL scores 0.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -34.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, MLCIL would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score0.0
Fundamental Score32.8
ML Score18.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.4
6 Month
1.6
Primary
1 Year
1.7

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
3.2
Factors
-0.4
Conviction
-2.8
Final
0.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

52AVG
Value50
Quality50
Growth50
Stability60
Investment50

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage54%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.2% to -5.7%
Medium-term
-18.2% to -6.6%
Long-term
-22.3% to -7.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 18

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 33 relative to sector peers33/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 18th percentileP18
Blended score: 80% fundamental (33) + 20% ML (18) = 29.829.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
Conviction adj: -2.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Data quality penalty: -3.0ptData
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #351 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MLCIL0.0N/AN/AN/A$2.1B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for MLCIL.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Mount Logan Capital, Inc. engages in the provision of public and private debt securities and insurance products. It operates through the Asset Management and Insurance segments. The Asset Management segment, through its subsidiaries, offers investment management, monitoring, and other services to investment vehicles and advisers. The Insurance segment consists of long-term care policies. The company was founded on April 25, 1969 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

CEO
Edward Joseph Goldthorpe
Employees
21
Beta
-3.53
Industry
Insurance - Life

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.4
Neutral
Trend
N/A
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.6%
High: $24.5
From 52W Low
+2%
Low: $23.15
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.70
Below
20-Day
N/A
50-Day
N/A
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$23.15
60-Day Resistance
$24.5

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
—
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
—
—
Stop Level
—
—

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -49.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
13K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$315K/day
Float
0
28M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$2.1B
Range
0
6% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumesideways trading

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.6%
Outstanding Shares
87M
Bid-Ask Spread
6.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.