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MDLZ

πŸ›’ Consumer Defensive

Mondelez International, Inc.

Conservative #383Aggressive #497Low RiskML↑ 32pt
$61.58+2.74%
Day High$61.76
Day Low$59.91
Volume10.5M
Mkt Cap$79.5B
52W Low $5152W High $71
Market Cap
$80.8B
P/E Ratio
33.1
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
5.8%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
-46.8%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.84

Why This Score

MDLZ scores 59.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (5.1% annualized) β€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-2.5 points) applied. MDLZ's rank of #383 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score59.2
Fundamental Score51.4
ML Score83.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.2
6 Month
83.0
Primary
1 Year
87.3

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality β€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
57.7
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-2.5
Final
59.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value55
Quality55
Growth35
Stability60
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)71.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.2% to +6.8%
Medium-term
+4.2% to +11.3%
Long-term
+6.2% to +15.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 83

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+10.6%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.1%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.15)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality+0.004
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P53
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P15
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P58
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 83th percentileP83
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (83) = 57.757.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 20% β†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.5pt (ML 32pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive β€” Rank #19 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MDLZ59.233.15.8%6.4%$80.8B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%β€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in the Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It provides biscuits, including cookies, crackers, and salted snacks; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese and grocery, and powdered beverage products. The company's snack brand portfolio includes Cadbury, Milka, and Toblerone chocolates; Oreo, belVita, and LU biscuits; Halls candies; Trident gums; and Tang powdered beverages. It serves supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, third party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents, and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Kraft Foods Inc. and changed its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. Mondelez International, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

CEO
Dirk Van de Put
Employees
90,000
Beta
0.40
Industry
Food Confectioners
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
56.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-13.5%
High: $71.15
From 52W Low
+20.3%
Low: $51.2
Moving Averages
10-Day
$60.30
Above
20-Day
$60.20
Above
50-Day
$57.40
Above
200-Day
$61.40
Above
60-Day Support
$51.2
60-Day Resistance
$62.8
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1β†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.18%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.83x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 50%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$55.13
Stop Entry Now Target
$73.28
Entry Zone
$56.83 – $59.12
SMA50 pullback zone ($56.83–$59.12)
Exit Target
$71.15
52-week high / +22% target ($71.15)
Stop Level
$60.17
Below SMA200 ($60.17)

Stage 2 uptrend β€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only β€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$10.5B$9.7B$9.0B$9.3B
Gross Profit$3.0B$2.6B$2.9B$2.4B
Operating Income$979M$744M$1.2B$680M
Net Income$665M$743M$641M$402M
EPS (Diluted)$0.51$0.57$0.49$0.31
Gross Margin28.2%26.8%32.7%26.1%
Operating Margin9.3%7.6%13.0%7.3%
Net Margin6.3%7.6%7.1%4.3%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveEarnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A β€” 98/100Score impact: -5.8pt

Volume
100
11.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$698M/day
Float
100
1.3B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$80.8B
Range
76
39% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA
Free Float
99.1%
Outstanding Shares
1.3B
Bid-Ask Spread
39.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.