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MATW

🏭 Industrials

Matthews International Corporation

Conservative #657Aggressive #851Low RiskModerate 67
$26.39-1.35%
Day High$26.85
Day Low$26.16
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$821M
52W Low $1952W High $29
Market Cap
$821M
P/E Ratio
36.7
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
-16.6%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
59.0%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
1.08

Why This Score

MATW scores 46.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (10%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.08) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.8
Fundamental Score50.5
ML Score37.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
52.0
6 Month
58.2
Primary
1 Year
61.2

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (323.3%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
51
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
57
Grade C
Base
42.8
SHAP
+3.7
Factors
+0.3
Final
46.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)68.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.3% to +0.4%
Medium-term
-9.4% to +0.6%
Long-term
-12.4% to +0.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 37

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.8%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.92)
Relative Strength vs Sector-1.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.7)
Momentum Quality+0.095
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P1
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P33
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P7
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (51.9) + 9% ML (61.2) + SHAP(+4.3) = 57.1
Factor quality: +0.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.1%. Stability bonus of +9.8 points. Max drawdown 8% (-0.0 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.8B market cap)-15.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (323.3%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #64 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MATW46.836.7-16.6%1.6%$821M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

Matthews International Corporation provides brand solutions, memorialization products, and industrial technologies worldwide. It operates through three segments: SGK Brand Solutions, Memorialization, and Industrial Technologies. The SGK Brand solutions segment provides brand management, pre-media services, printing plates and cylinders, engineered products, imaging services, digital asset management, merchandising display systems, and marketing and design services for the consumer goods and retail industries. The Memorialization segment provides bronze and granite memorials, upright granite memorials and monuments, cremation memorialization products, granite benches, flower vases, crypt plates and letters, cremation urns, niche units, cemetery features, and statues, as well as caskets, and cremation and incineration equipment for the cemetery and funeral home industries. The Industrial Technologies segment provides marking and coding equipment and consumables, industrial automation products, and order fulfillment systems for identifying, tracking, picking, and conveying consumer and industrial products for the warehousing and industrial industries. Matthews International Corporation was founded in 1850 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Joseph C. Bartolacci
Employees
11,000
Beta
1.17
Industry
Conglomerates
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
50.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.3%
High: $29.11
From 52W Low
+42.6%
Low: $18.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.30
Above
20-Day
$26.40
Below
50-Day
$26.70
Below
200-Day
$24.50
Above
60-Day Support
$23.9
60-Day Resistance
$29.11
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 68/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+7.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.52%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.68x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
73
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$285M$319M$349M$428M
Gross Profit$97M$112M$122M$139M
Operating Income$-16M$-9M$23M$8M
Net Income$44M$-27M$15M$-9M
EPS (Diluted)$1.39$-0.88$0.49$-0.29
Gross Margin34.0%35.2%34.9%32.5%
Operating Margin-5.5%-2.9%6.5%1.9%
Net Margin15.3%-8.6%4.4%-2.1%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 36.7)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 57/100Score impact: -12.2pt

Volume
57
270K avg/day
Dollar Vol
54
$7M/day
Float
59
29M shares
Mkt Cap
36
$821M
Range
89
57% spread
Composite Liquidity Score57/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$31.42$43.7532.8%Moderate
2022$22.12$37.9752.8%Wide
2023$30.94$48.8644.9%Wide
2024$21.09$37.1855.2%Wide
2025$18.50$32.0053.5%Wide
3-Year Range
90.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
94.6%
Outstanding Shares
31M
Bid-Ask Spread
57.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.