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KMB

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Conservative #517Aggressive #757Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 19pt
$111.44+0.96%
Day High$111.82
Day Low$110.01
Volume3.7M
Mkt Cap$37.0B
52W Low $9652W High $150
Market Cap
$36.8B
P/E Ratio
22.5
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
-2.1%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
-24.9%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
4.86

Why This Score

KMB scores 53.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 107.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (93/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 4.86) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score53.8
Fundamental Score48.0
ML Score93.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
79.6
6 Month
89.0
Primary
1 Year
93.7

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.9x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
37
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
55
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade Arange bound
Base
54.3
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+1.8
Divergence
-4.5
Final
53.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value70
Quality70
Growth35
Stability35
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)49.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.3% to +6.4%
Medium-term
-0.2% to +9.9%
Long-term
+0.4% to +14.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 93

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score54.8/100
Target Upside+11.0%
Coverage31 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score37.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.68)
Relative Strength vs Sector-29.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.2)
Momentum Quality-0.142
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
28%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P16
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P47
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P71
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 93th percentileP93
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (93) = 57.057.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 28% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +2.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -4.5pt (ML 45pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.9x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #27 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KMB53.822.5-2.1%9.9%$36.8B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care and consumer tissue products worldwide. It operates through three segments: Personal Care, Consumer Tissue, and K-C Professional. The Personal Care segment offers disposable diapers, swimpants, training and youth pants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Little Swimmers, GoodNites, DryNites, Sweety, Kotex, U by Kotex, Intimus, Depend, Plenitud, Softex, Poise, and other brand names. The Consumer Tissue segment provides facial and bathroom tissues, paper towels, napkins, and related products under the Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Andrex, Scottex, Neve, and other brand names. The K-C Professional segment offers wipers, tissues, towels, apparel, soaps, and sanitizers under the Kleenex, Scott, WypAll, Kimtech, and KleenGuard brands. The company sells household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce; and away-from-home use products directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and public facilities, as well as through distributors and e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

CEO
Michael D. Hsu
Employees
38,000
Beta
0.28
Industry
Household & Personal Products
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
70.8
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-25.9%
High: $150.45
From 52W Low
+15.8%
Low: $96.26
Moving Averages
10-Day
$109.70
Above
20-Day
$106.80
Above
50-Day
$102.80
Above
200-Day
$118.80
Below
60-Day Support
$96.26
60-Day Resistance
$111.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-6.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.16%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.82x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$4.1B$4.1B$4.2B$4.8B
Gross Profit$1.5B$1.5B$1.5B$1.7B
Operating Income$507M$621M$592M$769M
Net Income$499M$446M$509M$567M
EPS (Diluted)$1.50$1.34$1.53$1.70
Gross Margin35.9%35.7%35.0%35.8%
Operating Margin12.4%15.0%14.2%15.9%
Net Margin12.2%10.8%12.2%11.7%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 22.5Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 22.5)

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: -9.2pt

Volume
100
6.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$667M/day
Float
100
331M shares
Mkt Cap
93
$36.8B
Range
88
56% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA
range bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 54/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 4 of the last 5 years (3-year range: 41%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -2.7pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$125.27$143.3713.5%Narrow
2022$108.74$145.7929.1%Moderate
2023$116.32$147.8723.9%Narrow
2024$117.67$149.3123.7%Narrow
2025$99.22$150.4541%Wide
3-Year Range
41%
Narrow Years
4 / 5
Sideways Penalty
-2.7pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.34x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue declinerange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.7%
Outstanding Shares
332M
Bid-Ask Spread
56.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.