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KELYA

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Kelly Services, Inc.

Conservative #1222Aggressive #1404Moderate Risk
$9.71+0.73%
Day High$9.77
Day Low$9.40
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$332M
52W Low $852W High $15
Market Cap
$330M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-1.9%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-42250.0%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.16

Why This Score

KELYA scores 23.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (97/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.6
Fundamental Score31.2
ML Score6.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
52.9
6 Month
59.1
Primary
1 Year
62.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
53
Grade Csmall cap
Base
21.1
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+2.0
Divergence
-1.5
Final
23.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

48AVG
Value50
Quality6
Growth18
Stability67
Investment98

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)40.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)38.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.0% to +3.0%
Medium-term
-4.2% to +4.9%
Long-term
-5.5% to +6.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 6

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+62.0%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+4.8%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.84)
Relative Strength vs Sector-36.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.1)
Momentum Quality-0.155
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
40%
High risk โ€” cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P26
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P98
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 31 relative to sector peers31/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 6th percentileP6
Blended score: 80% fundamental (31) + 20% ML (6) = 26.226.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 39% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (ML 25pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Value trap penalty: -0.0ptValue Trap
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #117 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KELYA23.6N/A-1.9%-6.0%$330M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kelly Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides workforce solutions to various industries. The company operates through five segments: Professional & Industrial; Science, Engineering & Technology; Education; Outsourcing & Consulting; and International. The Professional & Industrial segment delivers staffing, outcome-based, and direct-hire services in the areas of office, professional, light industrial, and contact center specialties. The Science, Engineering & Technology segment offers staffing, outcome-based, and direct-hire services in the areas of science and clinical research, engineering, information technology, and telecommunications specialties. The Education segment provides staffing and executive search services to early childhood, and higher education markets. The Outsourcing & Consulting segment offers recruitment process outsourcing (RPO), payroll process outsourcing, and talent advisory services, as well as managed services. The International segment provides staffing, RPO, and direct-hire services in Europe and Mexico. The company serves customers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, France, Switzerland, Portugal, Russia, the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region. Kelly Services, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Troy, Michigan.

CEO
Christopher D. Layden
Employees
5,570
Beta
0.78
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
29.8
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35%
High: $14.94
From 52W Low
+21.7%
Low: $7.98
Moving Averages
10-Day
$9.60
Above
20-Day
$10.10
Below
50-Day
$9.70
Above
200-Day
$11.40
Below
60-Day Support
$8.4
60-Day Resistance
$11.8
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 14/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-14.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.5%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.97x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
97
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.0B$935M$1.1B$1.2B
Gross Profit$197M$194M$226M$237M
Operating Income$-700,000$-102M$22M$11M
Net Income$-129M$-150M$19M$6M
EPS (Diluted)$-3.69$-4.26$0.53$0.16
Gross Margin18.8%20.7%20.5%20.3%
Operating Margin-0.1%-10.9%2.0%0.9%
Net Margin-12.3%-16.1%1.7%0.5%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 53/100Score impact: -14.8pt

Volume
82
550K avg/day
Dollar Vol
50
$5M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
12
$330M
Range
100
87% spread
Composite Liquidity Score53/100
FDCBA
small cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$15.89$26.9851.7%Wide
2022$13.41$23.0052.7%Wide
2023$15.23$22.1136.9%Wide
2024$12.68$25.2766.4%Wide
2025$7.98$15.1161.8%Wide
3-Year Range
104%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
87.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.