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47

HOOD

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Conservative #719Aggressive #34High Risk
$75.85-4.53%
Day High$77.79
Day Low$74.82
Volume18.2M
Mkt Cap$68.3B
52W Low $3052W High $154
Market Cap
$70.1B
P/E Ratio
37.1
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
58.2%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
360.8%
Profit Margin
47.8%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.94

Why This Score

HOOD scores 46.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 17.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 47.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • High conviction (78/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (21.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.5
Fundamental Score39.6
ML Score76.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
38.4
6 Month
42.9
Primary
1 Year
45.1

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality โ€” strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
86
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
46.9
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-3.2
Final
46.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability60
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)41.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-8.0% to +2.0%
Long-term
-10.6% to +2.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 76

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.2/100
Target Upside+84.4%
Coverage23 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score86.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+78.6%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.52)
Relative Strength vs Sector+42.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.4)
Momentum Quality+0.267
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P95
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.8ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 40 relative to sector peers40/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 76th percentileP76
Blended score: 80% fundamental (40) + 20% ML (76) = 46.946.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 48% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.2pt (ML 36pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #209 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HOOD46.537.158.2%47.8%$70.1B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. Its platform allows users to invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options, gold, and cryptocurrencies. The company also offers various learning and education solutions comprise Snacks, a digest of business news stories; Learn, which is a collection of approximately articles, including guides, feature tutorials, and financial dictionary; Newsfeeds that offer access to free premium news from various sites, such as Barron's, Reuters, and The Wall Street Journal; lists and alerts, which allow users to create custom watchlists and alerts to monitor securities, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, as well as cash management services; and offers First trade recommendations to all new customers who have yet to place a trade. Robinhood Markets, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

CEO
Vladimir Tenev
Employees
2,300
Beta
2.44
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-50.7%
High: $153.86
From 52W Low
+155.7%
Low: $29.66
Moving Averages
10-Day
$75.60
Above
20-Day
$79.50
Below
50-Day
$100.30
Below
200-Day
$106.90
Below
60-Day Support
$69.22
60-Day Resistance
$139.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 25/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-29%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+20.07%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.01x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
22
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.3B$1.3B$989M$927M
Gross Profit$971M$981M$912M$793M
Operating Income$650M$635M$439M$372M
Net Income$605M$556M$386M$336M
EPS (Diluted)$0.66$0.61$0.42$0.37
Gross Margin75.7%77.0%92.2%85.5%
Operating Margin50.7%49.8%44.4%40.1%
Net Margin47.2%43.6%39.0%36.2%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 58.2%Profit margin 47.8%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 100/100Score impact: -16.0pt

Volume
100
27.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$2.0B/day
Float
100
783M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$70.1B
Range
100
419% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
86.9%
Outstanding Shares
901M
Bid-Ask Spread
419.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.