Erie Indemnity Company
ERIE scores 67.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. ERIE's rank of #188 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIE | 67.7 | 19.6 | 16.1% | 15.1% | $12.3B |
| CME | 86.4 | 27.2 | 9.9% | 57.5% | $114.0B |
| FHB | 84.9 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 24.2% | $3.1B |
| ACT | 84.5 | 8.9 | 2.4% | 54.6% | $6.1B |
| CINF | 84.2 | 10.7 | 11.4% | 18.9% | $25.4B |
| SEIC | 82.2 | 14.0 | 10.7% | 27.3% | $9.9B |
| TROW | 79.9 | 10.1 | 3.1% | 28.5% | $20.5B |
| QQQX | 79.7 | 10.4 | 48.6% | 257.3% | $1.4B |
| IBOC | 78.2 | 10.6 | 7.5% | 40.1% | $4.2B |
| HWC | 77.8 | 12.2 | -1.5% | 24.1% | $5.6B |
| FFIN | 77.5 | 18.8 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $4.7B |
| TRMK | 77.1 | 11.9 | 34.8% | 19.3% | $2.6B |
| NMIH | 77.1 | 7.7 | 8.4% | 55.1% | $3.0B |
| EWBC | 76.7 | 12.7 | 4.6% | 28.3% | $15.3B |
| WSFS | 76.3 | 12.8 | -3.1% | 21.1% | $3.5B |
| MCHB | 76.1 | N/A | 123.7% | 23.2% | $3.1B |
| Sector Average | 47.5 | 26.8 | 13.4% | -2.8% | โ |
Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services for the policyholders on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange. It also offers sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; and underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. Erie Indemnity Company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Stage 4 downtrend โ price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $951M | $1.3B | $1.1B | $989M |
| Gross Profit | $139M | $446M | $199M | $151M |
| Operating Income | $158M | $210M | $199M | $151M |
| Net Income | $63M | $183M | $175M | $138M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.20 | $3.47 | $3.34 | $2.65 |
| Gross Margin | 14.6% | 34.2% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| Operating Margin | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| Net Margin | 6.7% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $168.87 | $252.10 | 39.5% | Wide |
| 2022 | $158.46 | $286.50 | 57.6% | Wide |
| 2023 | $199.49 | $336.05 | 51% | Wide |
| 2024 | $321.05 | $547.00 | 52.1% | Wide |
| 2025 | $273.59 | $456.93 | 50.2% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.