Back to Dashboard
2

DFNS

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

LGL Systems Acquisition Corp.

Conservative #1419Aggressive #1275High RiskFโ†‘ 38pt
$1.76-9.74%
Day High$1.94
Day Low$1.76
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$51M
52W Low $252W High $26
Market Cap
$1.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

DFNS scores 2.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (26.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -21.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, DFNS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score2.0
Fundamental Score15.4
ML Score20.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.0
6 Month
1.1
Primary
1 Year
1.1

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.1%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
28
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
51
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
9.3
SHAP
-4.2
Factors
-0.6
Conviction
-2.5
Final
2.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

39AVG
Value50
Quality20
Growth50
Stability24
Investment50

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)20.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)57.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage75%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-19.3% to -9.4%
Medium-term
-25.8% to -12.0%
Long-term
-32.3% to -14.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 20

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score27.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.9%
6M Momentum-0.6%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-28.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.67)
Relative Strength vs Sector-96.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.3)
Momentum Quality-0.108
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 15 relative to sector peers15/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 20th percentileP20
Blended score: 80% fundamental (15) + 20% ML (20) = 16.316.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 88% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
Conviction adj: -2.5pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Data quality penalty: -2.0ptData
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #343 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DFNS2.0N/AN/A0.0%$1.3B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

T3 Defense Inc. operates as a holding company that focuses on acquiring and operating defense businesses. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) for defense, 3D mapping and surveillance, and UAVs. The company was formerly known as Nukkleus Inc. and changed its name to T3 Defense Inc. in February 2026. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Menachem Shalom
Employees
15
Beta
-6.37
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.9
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-93.3%
High: $26.21
From 52W Low
+0%
Low: $1.76
Moving Averages
10-Day
$2.00
Below
20-Day
$2.10
Below
50-Day
$3.10
Below
200-Day
$6.90
Below
60-Day Support
$1.76
60-Day Resistance
$7.44
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 10/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-74.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-31.79%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.53x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
91
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-5M$-1M$-2M$-5M
Net Income$-16M$3M$103M$-161M
EPS (Diluted)$-2.02$0.54$18.15$-51.96
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 51/100Score impact: -44.4pt

Volume
55
245K avg/day
Dollar Vol
27
$3M/day
Float
81
53M shares
Mkt Cap
47
$1.3B
Range
47
32% spread
Composite Liquidity Score51/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
50.9%
Outstanding Shares
104M
Bid-Ask Spread
32.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.