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47

CRAI

๐Ÿญ Industrials

CRA International, Inc.

Conservative #669Aggressive #554Moderate Risk
$167.40+4.46%
Day High$171.52
Day Low$156.31
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$1.1B
52W Low $15052W High $227
Market Cap
$1.1B
P/E Ratio
19.3
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
10.2%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
21.2%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.96

Why This Score

CRAI scores 48.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 27.0% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High conviction (97/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.1
Fundamental Score46.0
ML Score63.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
59.4
6 Month
66.3
Primary
1 Year
69.8

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
42
Grade Clow volume, low float
Base
44.4
SHAP
+1.5
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+2.0
Divergence
-0.3
Final
48.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

64AVG
Value61
Quality58
Growth66
Stability69
Investment64

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.8% to +0.5%
Medium-term
-5.4% to +0.9%
Long-term
-7.1% to +1.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 63

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+20.8%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.97)
Relative Strength vs Sector-29.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.8)
Momentum Quality-0.140
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
11%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P68
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P84
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P42
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 63th percentileP63
Blended score: 80% fundamental (46) + 20% ML (63) = 49.449.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 25% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.3pt (ML 17pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #62 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CRAI48.119.310.2%7.7%$1.1B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1
Price Target
$194consensus
Low $194Median $194High $194
+15.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

CRA International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides economic, financial, and management consulting services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It advises clients on economic and financial matters pertaining to litigation and regulatory proceedings; and guides corporations through business strategy and performance-related issues. The company also offers consulting services, including research and analysis, expert testimony, and support in litigation and regulatory proceedings in the areas of finance, accounting, economics, insurance, and forensic accounting and investigations to corporate clients and attorneys. In addition, it offers management consulting services comprising strategy development, performance improvement, corporate strategy and portfolio analysis, estimation of market demand, new product pricing strategies, valuation of intellectual property and other assets, assessment of competitors' actions, and analysis of new sources of supply. The company serves various industries, including communications and media; consumer, health, and wellness products; energy; entertainment and leisure; financial services; healthcare; life sciences; manufacturing and industries; natural resources; retail and distribution; technology; and transportation. CRA International, Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

CEO
Paul A. Maleh
Employees
947
Beta
0.90
Industry
Consulting Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.3%
High: $227.29
From 52W Low
+11.6%
Low: $149.96
Moving Averages
10-Day
$160.30
Above
20-Day
$170.20
Below
50-Day
$193.50
Below
200-Day
$189.60
Below
60-Day Support
$149.96
60-Day Resistance
$227.29
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-11.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.54%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
17
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2026Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$197M$186M$187M$182M
Gross Profit$0$51M$58M$61M
Operating Income$21M$17M$20M$26M
Net Income$13M$11M$12M$18M
EPS (Diluted)$1.99$1.73$1.79$2.62
Gross Margin0.0%27.4%31.2%33.8%
Operating Margin10.5%9.3%10.6%14.0%
Net Margin6.7%6.2%6.5%9.9%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 19.3Revenue growth 10.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 19.3)

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 42/100Score impact: -11.3pt

Volume
22
117K avg/day
Dollar Vol
77
$19M/day
Float
4
6M shares
Mkt Cap
41
$1.1B
Range
86
52% spread
Composite Liquidity Score42/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$53.51$116.7174.3%Wide
2022$78.35$125.8046.5%Wide
2023$81.29$128.1044.7%Wide
2024$97.31$210.7073.6%Wide
2025$152.57$215.0334%Moderate
3-Year Range
90.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
96.2%
Outstanding Shares
7M
Bid-Ask Spread
52.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.