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19

BPAC

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Company

Conservative #1293Aggressive #1161Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 27pt
$10.48+0.00%
Day High$10.49
Day Low$10.48
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$301M
52W Low $1052W High $11
Market Cap
$301M
P/E Ratio
15.7
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
6182.9%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

BPAC scores 19.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -28.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BPAC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score19.2
Fundamental Score45.3
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.6
6 Month
1.8
Primary
1 Year
1.9

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
29
Grade Dlow dollar volume, low float
Base
23.5
SHAP
-0.7
Factors
-0.2
Conviction
-3.4
Final
19.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value82
Quality33
Growth70
Stability73
Investment28

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)57.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-15.2% to -3.3%
Medium-term
-19.8% to -3.8%
Long-term
-24.9% to -3.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P48
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P11
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 36th percentileP36
Blended score: 80% fundamental (45) + 20% ML (36) = 43.443.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
Conviction adj: -3.4pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #307 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BPAC19.215.70.0%0.0%$301M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Company does not have significant operations. The company focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. It intends to identify business opportunities in the field of online real money gaming, technology, sports, digital media, hospitality, and leisure. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in San Francisco, California.

CEO
David VanEgmond
Beta
0.00
Industry
Shell Companies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
66.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.9%
High: $10.9
From 52W Low
+5.8%
Low: $9.91
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.50
Below
20-Day
$10.50
Below
50-Day
$10.40
Above
200-Day
$10.30
Above
60-Day Support
$10.37
60-Day Resistance
$10.9
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 62/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+1.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.46%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.45x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$9.79
Stop Entry Now Target
$13.20
Entry Zone
$10.30 โ€“ $10.71
SMA50 pullback zone ($10.3โ€“$10.71)
Exit Target
$12.82
52-week high / +22% target ($12.82)
Stop Level
$10.09
Below SMA200 ($10.09)
Risk / Reward:1 : 5.58Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2023Q4 2022Q3 2022Q2 2022
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-170,283$-1.4B$-311,926$-339,900
Operating Income$-361,884$-388,809$-311,926$-339,900
Net Income$1M$2M$4M$8M
EPS (Diluted)$0.04$-0.08$0.14$0.29
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 15.7

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 29/100Score impact: -23.7pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
52
223K avg/day
Dollar Vol
17
$2M/day
Float
37
16M shares
Mkt Cap
10
$301M
Range
0
10% spread
Composite Liquidity Score29/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumelow floatsmall caprange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 100/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 2 of the last 2 years (3-year range: 10.6%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$9.80$10.557.4%Narrow
2023$10.24$10.906.3%Narrow
3-Year Range
10.6%
Narrow Years
2 / 2
Sideways Penalty
-5pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingrange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
56.2%
Outstanding Shares
29M
Bid-Ask Spread
10.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.