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ANDE

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

The Andersons, Inc.

Conservative #733Aggressive #934Low Risk
$65.29+0.14%
Day High$65.57
Day Low$64.65
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$2.2B
52W Low $3152W High $70
Market Cap
$2.2B
P/E Ratio
23.3
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
-2.2%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
-16.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.84

Why This Score

ANDE scores 46.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (83/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.2 points) applied. ANDE's rank of #733 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.0
Fundamental Score47.5
ML Score31.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
51.6
6 Month
57.7
Primary
1 Year
60.7

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
71
Grade B
Base
42.2
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.1
Divergence
-0.2
Final
46.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

52AVG
Value72
Quality29
Growth26
Stability74
Investment60

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)90.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.8% to +2.3%
Medium-term
-2.3% to +3.8%
Long-term
-2.8% to +5.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 31

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+16.6%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.7%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-5.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.92)
Relative Strength vs Sector+55.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.535
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P15
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P44
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P7
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 31th percentileP31
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (31) = 44.244.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 17% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.2pt (ML 17pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #42 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ANDE46.023.3-2.2%0.9%$2.2B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

The Andersons, Inc., an agriculture company, operates in trade, renewables, and plant nutrient sectors in the United States and internationally. The company's Trade segment operates grain elevators; stores commodities; and provides grain marketing, risk management, and origination services to its customers and affiliated ethanol facilities. This segment also engages in the commodity merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. Its Renewables segment produces, purchases, and sells ethanol, and co-products, as well as offers facility operations, risk management, and ethanol and coproducts marketing services to the ethanol plants it invests in and operates. The company's Plant Nutrient segment manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients, corncob-based products, and pelleted lime and gypsum products; and crop nutrients, crop protection chemicals, and seed products, as well as provides application and agronomic services to commercial and family farmers. It also offers warehousing, packaging, and manufacturing services to nutrient producers and other distributors; and manufactures and distributes various industrial products, such as nitrogen reagents for air pollution control systems that are used in coal-fired power plants, and water treatment and dust abatement products. In addition, this segment produces corncob-based products for laboratory animal bedding and private-label cat litter, as well as absorbents, blast cleaners, carriers, and polishers; professional lawn care products for golf course and turf care markets; fertilizer and weed and pest control products; pelleted lime, gypsum, and value add soil amendments; and specialty ag liquids, seed starters, zinc, and industrial liquids. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.

CEO
William E. Krueger
Employees
2,224
Beta
0.76
Industry
Food Distribution
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
42.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.8%
High: $70.06
From 52W Low
+110.4%
Low: $31.03
Moving Averages
10-Day
$65.50
Below
20-Day
$65.80
Below
50-Day
$60.00
Above
200-Day
$45.90
Above
60-Day Support
$49.14
60-Day Resistance
$70.06
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+42.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+13.51%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.09x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$43.63
Stop Entry Now Target
$76.15
Entry Zone
$59.40 โ€“ $61.80
SMA50 pullback zone ($59.4โ€“$61.8)
Exit Target
$73.93
52-week high / +22% target ($73.93)
Stop Level
$44.98
Below SMA200 ($44.98)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.85Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$2.5B$2.7B$3.1B$2.7B
Gross Profit$231M$169M$194M$103M
Operating Income$81M$-4M$59M$-43M
Net Income$67M$20M$8M$284,000
EPS (Diluted)$1.97$0.59$0.23$0.01
Gross Margin9.1%6.3%6.2%3.9%
Operating Margin3.2%-0.1%1.9%-1.6%
Net Margin2.7%0.8%0.3%0.0%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 23.3Valuation below sector median (P/E 23.3)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 71/100Score impact: -7.9pt

Volume
63
331K avg/day
Dollar Vol
81
$21M/day
Float
62
32M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.2B
Range
100
126% spread
Composite Liquidity Score71/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$25.07$39.7145.2%Wide
2022$29.35$59.0067.1%Wide
2023$33.44$58.8455%Wide
2024$39.25$61.4644.1%Wide
2025$31.03$56.4758.1%Wide
3-Year Range
65.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.4%
Outstanding Shares
34M
Bid-Ask Spread
126.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.