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XMTR

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Xometry, Inc.

Conservative #908Aggressive #454Low RiskMLโ†‘ 29pt
$45.26+8.23%
Day High$45.62
Day Low$40.71
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$2.3B
52W Low $1952W High $74
Market Cap
$2.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
17.7%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
25.3%
Profit Margin
-9.8%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
1.23

Why This Score

XMTR scores 38.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (17.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.23) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.3 points) applied. XMTR's rank of #908 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score38.6
Fundamental Score37.6
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
61.6
6 Month
68.8
Primary
1 Year
72.4

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
65
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
35.7
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.1
Conviction
-0.7
Final
38.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

48AVG
Value50
Quality2
Growth77
Stability63
Investment46

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)71.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.8% to +7.6%
Medium-term
+5.1% to +12.6%
Long-term
+7.4% to +17.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.9/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.6/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+1.0%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+90.9%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.12)
Relative Strength vs Sector+92.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.919
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P80
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P20
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 38 relative to sector peers38/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
Blended score: 80% fundamental (38) + 20% ML (28) = 35.735.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.7pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #93 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
XMTR38.6N/A17.7%-9.8%$2.8B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 4
Price Target
$64consensus
Low $56Median $60High $75
+40.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Xometry, Inc. operates a marketplace that enables buyers to source manufactured parts and assemblies in the United States and internationally. It provides CNC machining, milling, and turning services; sheet, laser, waterjet, and plasma cutting services; and sheet metal forming services. The company also offers 3D printing services, such as carbon digital light synthesis, fused deposition modeling, HP multi jet fusion, PolyJet, selective laser sintering, stereolithography, metal 3D printing service, direct metal laser sintering, and metal binder jetting; and injection molding services, including plastic injection, over, insert, and prototype molding, as well as bridge and production tooling. In addition, it provides other services comprising urethane and die casting, vapor smoothing, finishing, rapid prototyping, high- volume production, and assembly services. The company offers its products under the Allied Machine & Engineering, Brubaker, HTC, OSG, Kyocera, Mitsubishi Materials, SOWA, Viking Drill & Tool, Dauphin, and Sandvik brands. It serves aerospace and defense, automotive, consumer products, product designers, education, electronic and semiconductors, energy, hardware startups, industrial, medical and dental, robotics, and supply chain and purchasing industries. The company was formerly known as NextLine Manufacturing Corp. and changed its name to Xometry, Inc. in June 2015. Xometry, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Derwood, Maryland.

CEO
Randolph Brody Altschuler
Employees
1,088
Beta
0.85
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-38.7%
High: $73.87
From 52W Low
+143.5%
Low: $18.59
Moving Averages
10-Day
$52.70
Below
20-Day
$57.90
Below
50-Day
$60.90
Below
200-Day
$49.10
Below
60-Day Support
$40.71
60-Day Resistance
$73.87
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 31/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-7.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+26.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$192M$181M$163M$151M
Gross Profit$75M$72M$65M$56M
Operating Income$-9M$-11M$-10M$-15M
Net Income$-9M$-12M$-26M$-15M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.17$-0.23$-0.52$-0.30
Gross Margin39.1%39.9%40.1%37.3%
Operating Margin-4.6%-6.1%-6.3%-10.2%
Net Margin-4.5%-6.4%-16.3%-10.0%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 17.7%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 85/100Score impact: -16.4pt

Volume
90
756K avg/day
Dollar Vol
95
$43M/day
Float
74
44M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.8B
Range
100
297% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA
Free Float
88.6%
Outstanding Shares
50M
Bid-Ask Spread
297.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.