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PCT

📊 Unknown

PCT Inc.

Conservative #1417Aggressive #1380Moderate RiskModerate 64
$8.13-8.30%
Day High$8.88
Day Low$8.06
Volume3.4M
Mkt Cap$1.5B
52W Low $552W High $17
Market Cap
N/A
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 5.6%
Earnings Growth
-184.3%
Profit Margin
-4036.3%
Sector avg: -547.1%
Debt/Equity
10.72

Why This Score

PCT scores 2.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (22.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 10.72) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score2.4
Fundamental Score8.8
ML Score1.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
6.5
6 Month
7.3
Primary
1 Year
7.7

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 10.7x — balance sheet risk
Speculative Classification
Anomalous margin data — extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 4 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
90
Grade A
Base
3.2
SHAP
+0.1
Factors
-0.9
Final
2.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)25.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)34.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-25.7% to -17.7%
Medium-term
-35.7% to -24.1%
Long-term
-44.9% to -29.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 1

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.9/100
Target Upside+82.4%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+23.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.40)
Relative Strength vs Sector-15.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.094
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P77
Revenue growth vs Unknown peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Unknown peers
Sector FCF Rank
P15
Free cash flow vs Unknown peers
Growth Deviation
0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 28 relative to sector peers28/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 22th percentileP22
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.1pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (28.0) + 9% ML (21.8) + SHAP(+0.1) = 27.6
Factor quality: -0.9pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 22.0%. Max drawdown 40% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -16% (-2.1 pts)Moderate
Data incomplete: -8pt (missing sector, marketCap — sector risk signals cannot be applied)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -24 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-2781.5%) exceeds net margin (-4036.3%) by 1255pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (36.1%) — earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 10.7x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Unknown — Rank #12 of 26 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PCT2.4N/A0.0%-4036.3%N/A
CFBK44.411.63.1%13.7%N/A
AIOT36.0N/A0.0%-7.4%N/A
STRT31.013.55.1%4.6%$381M
IMNM30.7N/A-35.5%N/A$2.0B
TECX29.5N/A0.0%0.0%$425M
MRAM29.4N/A-21.0%-0.9%$256M
GT24.7N/A-3.2%-9.4%$2.4B
ESOA19.5106.416.8%0.5%N/A
UXIN19.2N/A45.0%-10.7%N/A
IPX10.1N/A0.0%0.0%N/A
SKYX9.5N/A46.8%-39.1%N/A
ZJYL0.718.5-12.0%5.8%N/A
TDOG0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
VAVX0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
TMUSZ0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
Sector Average11.137.55.6%-547.1%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 5Hold: 4
Price Target
$16consensus
Low $9Median $16High $23
+96.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. produces recycled polypropylene (PP). The company holds a license for restoring waste PP into ultra-pure recycled resin. Its recycling process separates color, odor, and other contaminants from plastic waste feedstock to transform it into virgin-like resin. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

CEO
Dustin Olson
Employees
157
Beta
2.02
Industry
Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-53.1%
High: $17.37
From 52W Low
+50.7%
Low: $5.4
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.70
Below
20-Day
$9.20
Below
50-Day
$9.60
Below
200-Day
$11.60
Below
60-Day Support
$7.43
60-Day Resistance
$12.31
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-29.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.12%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$2M$2M$2M$0
Gross Profit$-28M$-36M$-22M$-22M
Operating Income$-39M$-46M$-38M$-35M
Net Income$-28M$-144M$9M$-65M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.31$-0.81$0.05$-0.39
Gross Margin-1150.0%-2157.8%-1373.5%N/A
Operating Margin-1602.2%-2763.5%-2387.4%N/A
Net Margin-1167.5%-8741.8%559.0%N/A

Why This Stock

Unknown

Tradability FilterGrade A — 90/100Score impact: -26.1pt

Volume
100
3.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
89
$34M/day
Float
100
175M shares
Mkt Cap
51
N/A
Range
100
222% spread
Composite Liquidity Score90/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$8.71$35.75121.6%Wide
2022$4.94$10.9575.6%Wide
2023$2.54$11.89129.6%Wide
2024$2.38$15.58147%Wide
2025$5.40$17.37105.1%Wide
3-Year Range
151.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.3%
Outstanding Shares
180M
Bid-Ask Spread
222.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.