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34

TRNS

🏭 Industrials

Transcat, Inc.

Conservative #1007Aggressive #1028Moderate RiskModerate 62ML↑ 19pt
$76.75-3.70%
Day High$79.92
Day Low$76.69
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$716M
52W Low $5052W High $97
Market Cap
$731M
P/E Ratio
84.7
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
7.3%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
6.4%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.45

Why This Score

TRNS scores 34.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 84.7x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (12.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score34.2
Fundamental Score37.5
ML Score26.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.2
6 Month
70.6
Primary
1 Year
74.3

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-397.6%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
43
Grade Clow volume, low float
Base
31.5
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.3
Final
34.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.2% to +4.1%
Medium-term
+0.4% to +6.9%
Long-term
+0.9% to +9.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 26

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+21.4%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.48)
Relative Strength vs Sector-16.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.4)
Momentum Quality-0.031
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P57
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P7
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P54
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 54 relative to sector peers54/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 74th percentileP74
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (54.5) + 9% ML (73.6) + SHAP(+3.0) = 59.2—
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.1%. Max drawdown 35% (-10.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.3pt (ML 19pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-397.6%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #99 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TRNS34.284.77.3%2.6%$731M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 2
Price Target
$95consensus
Low $95Median $95High $95
+23.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Transcat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management software that is used to integrate and manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

CEO
Lee D. Rudow
Employees
1,104
Beta
0.76
Industry
Industrial - Distribution
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.9%
High: $97.08
From 52W Low
+52.8%
Low: $50.23
Moving Averages
10-Day
$77.30
Below
20-Day
$72.70
Above
50-Day
$65.60
Above
200-Day
$72.90
Above
60-Day Support
$50.23
60-Day Resistance
$81.36
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 48/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
+5.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-5.49%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.29x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
13
Confidence: 50%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-11)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$73M$84M$82M$77M
Gross Profit$25M$25M$27M$26M
Operating Income$6M$88,000$4M$7M
Net Income$4M$-1M$1M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.41$-0.12$0.14$0.48
Gross Margin34.1%30.1%32.5%33.6%
Operating Margin8.1%0.1%4.3%9.0%
Net Margin5.0%-1.3%1.5%5.8%

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade C — 43/100Score impact: -10.0pt

Volume
32
145K avg/day
Dollar Vol
63
$11M/day
Float
14
9M shares
Mkt Cap
35
$731M
Range
100
93% spread
Composite Liquidity Score43/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$43.20$101.0580.2%Wide
2022$50.32$95.7962.2%Wide
2023$71.04$115.4147.6%Wide
2024$94.29$147.1243.8%Wide
2025$50.23$111.2975.6%Wide
3-Year Range
98.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.8%
Outstanding Shares
9M
Bid-Ask Spread
93.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.