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TECX

📊 Unknown

TECX Inc.

Conservative #1089Aggressive #908Moderate RiskModerate 65F↑ 17pt
$23.30+0.83%
Day High$23.49
Day Low$23.09
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$436M
52W Low $1452W High $31
Market Cap
$425M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 5.6%
Earnings Growth
-35.4%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -547.1%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

TECX scores 29.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (17.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score29.5
Fundamental Score30.9
ML Score54.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
15.7
6 Month
17.5
Primary
1 Year
18.4

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
67
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
51
Grade Csmall cap
Base
30.6
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.1
Divergence
-1.2
Final
29.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)42.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-8.9% to -3.3%
Medium-term
-12.0% to -4.0%
Long-term
-15.1% to -4.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 54

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+182.2%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score66.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.93)
Relative Strength vs Sector-11.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.073
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P77
Revenue growth vs Unknown peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Unknown peers
Sector FCF Rank
P12
Free cash flow vs Unknown peers
Growth Deviation
0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 50 relative to sector peers50/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 32th percentileP32
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (49.5) + 9% ML (30.2) + SHAP(+0.2) = 48.0
Factor quality: -0.1pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.9%. Max drawdown 39% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -12% (-1.4 pts)Moderate
Data incomplete: -8pt (missing sector, marketCap — sector risk signals cannot be applied)
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (fund 17pt higher)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (25.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Unknown — Rank #5 of 26 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TECX29.5N/A0.0%0.0%$425M
CFBK44.411.63.1%13.7%N/A
AIOT36.0N/A0.0%-7.4%N/A
STRT31.013.55.1%4.6%$381M
IMNM30.7N/A-35.5%N/A$2.0B
MRAM29.4N/A-21.0%-0.9%$256M
GT24.7N/A-3.2%-9.4%$2.4B
ESOA19.5106.416.8%0.5%N/A
UXIN19.2N/A45.0%-10.7%N/A
IPX10.1N/A0.0%0.0%N/A
SKYX9.5N/A46.8%-39.1%N/A
PCT2.4N/A0.0%-4036.3%N/A
ZJYL0.718.5-12.0%5.8%N/A
TDOG0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
VAVX0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
TMUSZ0.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
Sector Average11.137.55.6%-547.1%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company focuses on the discovery and development of therapeutic proteins and antibodies to modulate the activity of G-protein coupled receptors(GPCRs). It offers GEODe technology platform to enable the discovery and development of GPCR-targeted biologic medicines. The company's pipeline products include RXFP1 agonist, which is in ongoing phase 1a and 1b for the indication of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; GPCR antagonist for indication of hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia; bi-functional GPCR modulator for indication of fibrosis; and GPCR modulators. Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc. is based in Watertown, Massachusetts.

CEO
Alise S. Reicin
Employees
51
Beta
1.59
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
51.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-15.1%
High: $27.33
From 52W Low
+69.4%
Low: $13.7
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.80
Above
20-Day
$22.10
Above
50-Day
$20.90
Above
200-Day
$20.20
Above
60-Day Support
$16.77
60-Day Resistance
$26
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 36/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+14.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.58%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.88x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
18
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-22M$-22M$-18M$-14M
Net Income$-19M$-20M$-16M$-12M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.02$-1.07$-0.93$-0.84
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Unknown

Tradability FilterGrade C — 51/100Score impact: -33.7pt

Volume
68
382K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
20
$425M
Range
100
123% spread
Composite Liquidity Score51/100
FDCBA
small cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$38.04$171.36127.3%Wide
2022$6.72$49.80152.4%Wide
2023$6.84$23.16108.8%Wide
2024$12.12$53.41126%Wide
2025$13.70$61.07126.7%Wide
3-Year Range
159.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
123.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.