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ESOA

๐Ÿ“Š Unknown

ESOA Inc.

Conservative #1283Aggressive #1147Moderate RiskLow 33MLโ†‘ 33pt
$15.27-2.55%
Day High$15.83
Day Low$14.98
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$254M
52W Low $852W High $16
Market Cap
N/A
P/E Ratio
106.4
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
16.8%
Sector avg: 5.6%
Earnings Growth
-98.5%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Sector avg: -547.1%
Debt/Equity
1.06

Why This Score

ESOA scores 21.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (35%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 106.4x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (19.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.06) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -18.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ESOA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score21.7
Fundamental Score35.4
ML Score31.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.6
6 Month
80.0
Primary
1 Year
84.2

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-529.6%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.2%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
36
Grade Dlow dollar volume, low float
Base
19.5
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.3
Conviction
-1.6
Final
21.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)63.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+5.7% to +10.9%
Medium-term
+9.4% to +17.4%
Long-term
+14.2% to +25.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 31

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-5.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.86)
Relative Strength vs Sector+34.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.8)
Momentum Quality+0.261
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P88
Revenue growth vs Unknown peers
Sector PE Rank
P0
Valuation vs Unknown peers
Sector FCF Rank
P92
Free cash flow vs Unknown peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (51.8) + 9% ML (85.1) + SHAP(+2.5) = 57.3โ€”
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 19.0%. Max drawdown 25% (-6.9 pts)Moderate
Data incomplete: -8pt (missing sector, marketCap โ€” sector risk signals cannot be applied)โ€”
Conviction penalty: -1.6pt (conviction=33)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 33pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-529.6%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Unknown โ€” Rank #9 of 26 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ESOA21.7106.416.8%0.5%N/A
CFBK41.311.63.1%13.7%N/A
AIOT37.9N/A0.0%-7.4%N/A
IMNM36.8N/A-35.5%N/A$2.0B
TECX31.8N/A0.0%0.0%$425M
MRAM28.7N/A-21.0%-0.9%$256M
STRT25.913.55.1%4.6%$381M
GT24.0N/A-3.2%-9.4%$2.4B
UXIN23.1N/A45.0%-10.7%N/A
IPX13.8N/A0.0%0.0%N/A
SKYX11.8N/A46.8%-39.1%N/A
AEAQ5.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
ADAMO5.2N/AN/AN/AN/A
BIXI5.1N/AN/AN/AN/A
GTERA5.1N/AN/AN/AN/A
KBON5.0N/AN/AN/AN/A
Sector Average13.837.55.6%-547.1%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Energy Services of America Corporation provides contracting services for utilities and energy related companies in the United States. It constructs, replaces, and repairs interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies; and provides services relating to pipeline, storage facilities, and plant works. The company also offers a range of electrical and mechanical installation, and repair services, including substation and switchyard, site preparation, equipment setting, pipe fabrication and installation, packaged buildings, transformers, and other ancillary works for the gas, petroleum power, chemical, water and sewer, and automotive industries. It provides liquid pipeline and pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installation, and various maintenance and repair services, as well as other services related to pipeline construction. The company serves customers primarily in West Virginia, Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Kentucky. Energy Services of America Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Huntington, West Virginia.

CEO
Douglas Vernon Reynolds
Employees
1,396
Beta
1.39
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
80.6
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.6%
High: $15.83
From 52W Low
+97.8%
Low: $7.64
Moving Averages
10-Day
$14.30
Above
20-Day
$12.20
Above
50-Day
$9.90
Above
200-Day
$10.00
Above
60-Day Support
$7.84
60-Day Resistance
$15.83
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 41/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+51.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.91%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
12
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$114M$130M$104M$77M
Gross Profit$14M$16M$12M$77,860
Operating Income$5M$7M$3M$-8M
Net Income$3M$4M$2M$-7M
EPS (Diluted)$0.16$0.25$0.12$-0.41
Gross Margin12.3%12.6%11.6%0.1%
Operating Margin4.3%5.8%3.1%-10.6%
Net Margin2.4%3.3%2.0%-8.9%

Why This Stock

UnknownRevenue growth 16.8%Valuation below sector median (P/E 106.4)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 36/100Score impact: -29.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
50
203K avg/day
Dollar Vol
22
$3M/day
Float
24
12M shares
Mkt Cap
3
N/A
Range
100
95% spread
Composite Liquidity Score36/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$1.32$3.6593.8%Wide
2022$1.77$4.6890.2%Wide
2023$1.84$6.00106.1%Wide
2024$5.22$19.83116.6%Wide
2025$7.64$15.2366.4%Wide
3-Year Range
166%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
74.1%
Outstanding Shares
17M
Bid-Ask Spread
95.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.