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SBLK

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Star Bulk Carriers Corp.

Conservative #242Aggressive #210Low RiskMLโ†‘ 19pt
$25.02+0.40%
Day High$25.50
Day Low$24.44
Volume4.3M
Mkt Cap$2.9B
52W Low $1252W High $26
Market Cap
$2.8B
P/E Ratio
47.5
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
33.3%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
75.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.50

Why This Score

SBLK scores 65.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 47.5x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. SBLK's rank of #242 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.6
Fundamental Score61.8
ML Score61.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.9
6 Month
80.4
Primary
1 Year
84.6

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-347.5%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
59
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
84
Grade A
Base
61.6
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
65.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

68AVG
Value52
Quality32
Growth100
Stability88
Investment66

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)91.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)55.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.2% to +6.9%
Medium-term
+4.2% to +11.4%
Long-term
+6.2% to +15.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 61

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside-9.4%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score59.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+26.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.52)
Relative Strength vs Sector+44.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.523
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P89
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P20
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P84
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
Blended score: 80% fundamental (62) + 20% ML (61) = 61.661.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 5% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-347.5%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #19 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SBLK65.647.533.3%5.8%$2.8B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy24 analysts
Buy: 14Hold: 8Sell: 2
Price Target
$23consensus
Low $20Median $23High $26
-8.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes worldwide. The company's vessels transport a range of major bulks, including iron ores, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks, such as bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 128 vessels with an aggregate capacity of approximately 14.1 million deadweight tons, including 17 Newcastlemax, 24 Capesize, 7 Post Panamax, 41 Kamsarmax, 2 Panamax, 20 Ultramax, and 17 Supramax vessels. The company also provides vessel management services. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

CEO
Petros Alexandros Pappas
Employees
301
Beta
0.77
Industry
Marine Shipping
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
78.0
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.1%
High: $25.82
From 52W Low
+107.5%
Low: $12.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.70
Above
20-Day
$23.80
Above
50-Day
$21.50
Above
200-Day
$19.10
Above
60-Day Support
$17.86
60-Day Resistance
$25.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 76/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+31%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.41%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.3x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-12)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$301M$264M$247M$231M
Gross Profit$105M$100M$79M$60M
Operating Income$82M$32M$13M$15M
Net Income$65M$19M$39,000$462,000
EPS (Diluted)$0.57$0.16$0.00$0.00
Gross Margin34.8%37.9%32.1%26.1%
Operating Margin27.2%12.1%5.3%6.5%
Net Margin21.7%7.0%0.0%0.2%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 33.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 84/100Score impact: -2.1pt

Volume
100
1.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
89
$34M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.8B
Range
100
111% spread
Composite Liquidity Score84/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.74$26.0068.5%Wide
2022$16.85$33.9967.4%Wide
2023$16.57$25.0340.7%Wide
2024$14.56$27.4761.4%Wide
2025$12.06$20.8753.5%Wide
3-Year Range
78%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
111.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.