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MYRG

🏭 Industrials

MYR Group Inc.

Conservative #518Aggressive #1056Low RiskMixed 50ML↑ 25pt
$274.01-1.79%
Day High$282.33
Day Low$270.18
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$4.3B
52W Low $9852W High $285
Market Cap
$4.4B
P/E Ratio
44.6
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
-7.7%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-66.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.19

Why This Score

MYRG scores 51.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (123%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 44.6x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Moderate penalties (-7.9 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.6
Fundamental Score62.3
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.7
6 Month
83.4
Primary
1 Year
87.8

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
68
Grade Blow float
Base
50.5
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-2.9
Final
51.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)94.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.9% to +6.5%
Medium-term
+3.2% to +10.3%
Long-term
+5.2% to +14.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score59.2/100
Target Upside+0.4%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.2%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+76.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.38)
Relative Strength vs Sector+111.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.193
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
11%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P10
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P57
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (64.4) + 9% ML (89.4) + SHAP(+3.1) = 69.8—
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.3%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -2.2pt (123% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.4B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.2pt (ML 25pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-138.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #48 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MYRG51.644.6-7.7%2.8%$4.4B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold19 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 12
Price Target
$274consensus
Low $262Median $274High $285
-0.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

MYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial. The Transmission and Distribution segment offers a range of services on electric transmission and distribution networks, and substation facilities, including design, engineering, procurement, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services with primary focus on construction, maintenance, and repair to customers in the electric utility industry; and services, including construction and maintenance of high voltage transmission lines, substations, and lower voltage underground and overhead distribution systems, renewable power facilities, and limited gas construction services, as well as emergency restoration services in response to hurricane, ice, or other storm related damages. This segment serves as a prime contractor to customers, such as investor-owned utilities, cooperatives, private developers, government-funded utilities, independent power producers, independent transmission companies, industrial facility owners, and other contractors. The Commercial and Industrial segment provides a range of services, including design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wiring; and installation of traffic networks, bridge, roadway, and tunnel lighting for airports, hospitals, data centers, hotels, stadiums, convention centers, renewable energy projects, manufacturing plants, processing facilities, waste-water treatment facilities, mining facilities, and transportation control and management systems. This segment serves general contractors, commercial and industrial facility owners, governmental agencies, and developers. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Henderson, Colorado.

CEO
Richard S. Swartz Jr.
Employees
8,500
Beta
1.17
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.8%
High: $284.98
From 52W Low
+180.4%
Low: $97.72
Moving Averages
10-Day
$272.30
Above
20-Day
$265.50
Above
50-Day
$244.90
Above
200-Day
$205.20
Above
60-Day Support
$209.38
60-Day Resistance
$284.98
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+33.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+21.06%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.13x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$974M$950M$900M$834M
Gross Profit$111M$112M$104M$97M
Operating Income$47M$46M$40M$34M
Net Income$37M$32M$26M$23M
EPS (Diluted)$2.33$2.05$1.70$1.45
Gross Margin11.4%11.8%11.5%11.6%
Operating Margin4.8%4.9%4.4%4.1%
Net Margin3.8%3.4%2.9%2.8%

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade B — 68/100Score impact: -3.7pt

Volume
53
234K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$64M/day
Float
34
15M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.4B
Range
100
192% spread
Composite Liquidity Score68/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$56.50$121.2272.8%Wide
2022$74.77$112.1140%Wide
2023$90.81$156.6353.2%Wide
2024$86.60$181.0270.6%Wide
2025$97.72$241.1384.6%Wide
3-Year Range
94.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.1%
Outstanding Shares
16M
Bid-Ask Spread
192.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.