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46

LUNR

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

Conservative #702Aggressive #386Moderate Risk
$17.67+11.20%
Day High$17.82
Day Low$16.01
Volume14.4M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $652W High $23
Market Cap
$3.0B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
186.7%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-551.3%
Profit Margin
-93.3%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

LUNR scores 46.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 43.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -0.93) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (11%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (29.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-1.6 points) applied. LUNR's rank of #702 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.9
Fundamental Score44.1
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
11.6
6 Month
13.0
Primary
1 Year
13.7

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-9.8%) with high ROE (43.1%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
46.5
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
-0.2
Conviction
-0.6
Final
46.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

44AVG
Value50
Quality33
Growth50
Stability53
Investment33

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)71.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-15.5% to -9.5%
Medium-term
-21.2% to -12.3%
Long-term
-26.7% to -15.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+14.3%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.8%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-73.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.13)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.4)
Momentum Quality+0.082
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P98
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P19
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+2.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 56th percentileP56
Blended score: 80% fundamental (44) + 20% ML (56) = 46.546.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 23% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-9.8%) with high ROE (43.1%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #67 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LUNR46.9N/A186.7%-93.3%$3.0B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Stephen Altemus
Employees
435
Beta
1.38
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
58.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-24.2%
High: $23.32
From 52W Low
+187.8%
Low: $6.14
Moving Averages
10-Day
$17.30
Above
20-Day
$17.70
Below
50-Day
$17.50
Above
200-Day
$12.40
Above
60-Day Support
$9.01
60-Day Resistance
$23.32
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+42.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+18.35%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.83x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
57
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$52M$50M$63M$55M
Gross Profit$11M$-12M$13M$37M
Operating Income$-15M$-29M$-10M$-10M
Net Income$-7M$-39M$-11M$-149M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06$-0.24$-0.11$2.22
Gross Margin21.7%-23.5%20.7%68.1%
Operating Margin-29.4%-56.9%-16.1%-18.3%
Net Margin-13.0%-76.7%-18.2%-270.2%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 186.7%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 94/100Score impact: -30.8pt

Volume
100
10.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$186M/day
Float
100
108M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.0B
Range
100
280% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 8/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$9.55$10.6310.7%Narrow
2023$2.23$136.00193.5%Wide
2024$2.09$19.62161.5%Wide
2025$6.14$24.95121%Wide
3-Year Range
193.9%
Narrow Years
1 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
100.5%
Outstanding Shares
107M
Bid-Ask Spread
280.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.