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28

JBLU

🏭 Industrials

JetBlue Airways Corporation

Conservative #1122Aggressive #859Moderate RiskML↑ 23pt
$5.80+4.04%
Day High$5.85
Day Low$5.63
Volume13.7M
Mkt Cap$2.1B
52W Low $352W High $7
Market Cap
$2.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-2.3%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
24.3%
Profit Margin
-6.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
4.84

Why This Score

JBLU scores 28.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (14.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 4.84) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.1
Fundamental Score27.8
ML Score43.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
46.7
6 Month
52.1
Primary
1 Year
54.9

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.8x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
32
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
49
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
30.8
SHAP
-2.8
Factors
+0.1
Divergence
-0.0
Final
28.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

37AVG
Value50
Quality6
Growth56
Stability53
Investment20

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)56.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)45.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-8.0% to -0.9%
Medium-term
-11.4% to -0.9%
Long-term
-14.9% to -0.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 43

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score49.3/100
Target Upside-7.8%
Coverage36 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score32.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-19.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.89)
Relative Strength vs Sector-20.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality-0.073
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P23
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P2
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 28 relative to sector peers28/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 43th percentileP43
Blended score: 80% fundamental (28) + 20% ML (43) = 30.830.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 22% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Divergence penalty: -0.0pt (ML 15pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.8x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #111 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
JBLU28.1N/A-2.3%-6.6%$2.1B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

JetBlue Airways Corporation provides air passenger transportation services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 63 Airbus A321 aircraft, 8 Airbus A220 aircraft, 21 Airbus A321neo aircraft, 130 Airbus A320 aircraft, and 60 Embraer E190 aircraft. It also served 107 destinations in the 31 states in the United States, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and 24 countries in the Caribbean and Latin America. JetBlue Airways Corporation has a strategic partnership with American Airlines Group Inc. to create connectivity for travelers in the Northeast. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Long Island City, New York.

CEO
Joanna L. Geraghty
Employees
23,000
Beta
1.75
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16.2%
High: $6.92
From 52W Low
+73.7%
Low: $3.34
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.90
Below
20-Day
$5.80
Below
50-Day
$5.30
Above
200-Day
$4.80
Above
60-Day Support
$4.39
60-Day Resistance
$6.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 34/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+20.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.15%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.83x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
37
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$2.2B$2.3B$2.4B$2.1B
Gross Profit$1.0B$1.0B$611M$397M
Operating Income$-100M$-100M$6M$-174M
Net Income$-177M$-143M$-74M$-208M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.48$-0.39$-0.20$-0.59
Gross Margin45.2%45.1%25.9%18.6%
Operating Margin-4.5%-4.3%0.3%-8.1%
Net Margin-7.9%-6.2%-3.1%-9.7%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -21.1pt

Volume
100
18.8M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$109M/day
Float
100
334M shares
Mkt Cap
60
$2.1B
Range
100
114% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.86$21.9652.3%Wide
2022$6.18$16.3990.5%Wide
2023$3.42$9.4593.7%Wide
2024$4.50$8.2859.2%Wide
2025$3.34$8.3185.3%Wide
3-Year Range
95.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
90.2%
Outstanding Shares
370M
Bid-Ask Spread
114.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.