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HBNB

๐Ÿ  Real Estate

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

Conservative #1456Aggressive #1430Moderate Risk
$8.12+1.31%
Day High$8.12
Day Low$8.12
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$1.9B
52W Low $252W High $19
Market Cap
$2.0B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
416299.6%
Sector avg: 15420.2%
Earnings Growth
-192.8%
Profit Margin
-108.7%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.78

Why This Score

HBNB scores 0.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (81/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -26.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HBNB would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score0.0
Fundamental Score23.1
ML Score1.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
17.6
6 Month
19.7
Primary
1 Year
20.7

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
0.0
SHAP
+0.4
Factors
-0.1
Conviction
+1.3
Divergence
-1.1
Final
0.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

39AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth50
Stability63
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-17.3% to -10.5%
Medium-term
-23.1% to -13.4%
Long-term
-28.9% to -16.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 1

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-3.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P100
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P50
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P8
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
+3.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 23 relative to sector peers23/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 1th percentileP1
Blended score: 80% fundamental (23) + 20% ML (1) = 18.718.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 22pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate โ€” Rank #27 of 27 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HBNB0.0N/A416299.6%-108.7%$2.0B
AGNC80.67.5-60.8%87.0%$12.4B
SBAC76.825.3-1.2%28.0%$21.0B
GLPI76.016.66.3%51.2%$13.9B
REG74.227.16.9%34.0%$14.4B
LAMR72.131.04.6%16.4%$13.9B
HST71.718.87.0%12.3%$13.7B
SBRA69.731.510.2%20.1%$5.3B
ADAM66.04.912.0%19.9%$754M
PECO65.644.110.7%15.3%$5.0B
LAND64.340.1-5.7%14.5%$457M
EQIX62.569.45.4%14.6%$93.6B
DRH61.131.95.1%5.7%$2.1B
GOOD54.130.78.0%12.0%$613M
RMR53.911.8-22.0%3.5%$525M
FISV47.89.47.1%15.3%$33.3B
Sector Average50.932.315420.2%6.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. is an asset-light, prop-tech hospitality platform pioneering a global standardized "condotel" business model. Originating from the Philippines and headquartered in Singapore, Hotel101 enables direct hotel unit ownership for investors, offering global brand consistency and professional management. The company aims to disrupt the hospitality sector with a technology-driven approach, targeting rapid global expansion with a vision to operate 1 million rooms in 100 countries

CEO
Marriana Henares Yulo-Luccini
Beta
-1.20
Industry
Real Estate - Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.1%
High: $10.43
From 52W Low
+423.9%
Low: $1.55
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.00
Above
20-Day
$7.90
Above
50-Day
$8.00
Above
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$6.16
60-Day Resistance
$10.43

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
โ€”
โ€”
Stop Level
โ€”
โ€”

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Why This Stock

Real EstateRevenue growth 416299.6%

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -28.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
23K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$189K/day
Float
0
37M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$2.0B
Range
0
1144% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volume

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
15.8%
Outstanding Shares
234M
Bid-Ask Spread
1144.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.