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GSAT

📡 Communication Services

Globalstar, Inc.

Conservative #1178Aggressive #1204Low RiskModerate 63ML↑ 19pt
$63.44+0.99%
Day High$65.00
Day Low$63.16
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$8.0B
52W Low $1752W High $75
Market Cap
$7.6B
P/E Ratio
336.0
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
11.9%
Sector avg: 15.4%
Earnings Growth
-155.5%
Profit Margin
-25.2%
Sector avg: -115.9%
Debt/Equity
1.51

Why This Score

GSAT scores 27.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (178%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 336.0x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (16.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.51) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-9.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.9
Fundamental Score40.8
ML Score4.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
42.0
6 Month
46.9
Primary
1 Year
49.4

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues
Speculative Classification
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
60
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
88
Grade A
Base
27.4
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-3.3
Final
27.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

38AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth35
Stability45
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)21.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.6% to -0.2%
Medium-term
-6.7% to -0.2%
Long-term
-8.8% to -0.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 4

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.0/100
Target Upside+2.3%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.8%
6M Momentum+1.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+77.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.56)
Relative Strength vs Sector+178.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.577
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P65
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P7
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P36
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 32 relative to sector peers32/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 51th percentileP51
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (32.4) + 9% ML (51.1) + SHAP(+3.1) = 37.2—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 16.9%. Max drawdown 12% (-1.4 pts)Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -4.9pt (178% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($7.6B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.2pt (ML 19pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -17 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-0.4%) exceeds net margin (-25.2%) by 25pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (-29.4%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.5x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #50 of 63 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GSAT27.9336.011.9%-25.2%$7.6B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average42.3120.615.4%-115.9%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold5 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 3
Price Target
$62consensus
Low $62Median $62High $62
-2.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Globalstar, Inc. provides mobile satellite services worldwide. The company offers duplex two-way voice and data products, including mobile voice and data satellite communications services and equipment for remote business continuity, recreational usage, safety, emergency preparedness and response, and other applications; fixed voice and data satellite communications services and equipment at industrial, commercial, and residential sites, as well as rural villages and ships; and data modem services and equipment. It also provides SPOT consumer retail products, such as SPOT satellite GPS messenger for personal tracking, emergency location, and messaging solutions; and SPOT Trace, an anti-theft and asset tracking device. In addition, the company offers commercial Internet of Things one-way transmission products to track cargo containers and rail cars, as well as to monitor utility meters, and oil and gas assets. Further, it sells wholesale minutes to independent gateway operators (IGOs); and provides engineering services, such as hardware and software designs to develop specific applications; and installation of gateways and antennas. The company distributes its products directly, as well as through independent agents, dealers and resellers, retailers, IGOs, and sales force and e-commerce Website. As of December 31, 2020, it had approximately 745,000 subscribers. The company primarily serves recreation and personal, government, public safety and disaster relief, oil and gas, maritime and fishing, construction, utilities, and transportation, as well as natural resources, mining, and forestry markets. Globalstar, Inc. has a strategic alliance with XCOM Labs to jointly commercialize XCOM's capacity-multiplying technology with Globalstar's Band n53 for 5G deployments in the United States and other countries where Globalstar has terrestrial rights. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.

CEO
Paul E. Jacobs
Employees
389
Beta
1.43
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-15.3%
High: $74.88
From 52W Low
+268%
Low: $17.24
Moving Averages
10-Day
$60.20
Above
20-Day
$60.30
Above
50-Day
$61.90
Above
200-Day
$41.80
Above
60-Day Support
$53.73
60-Day Resistance
$74.88
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+51.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+42.85%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.72x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$74M$67M$60M$61M
Gross Profit$27M$45M$39M$39M
Operating Income$10M$6M$-9M$-4M
Net Income$-2M$19M$-17M$-50M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.01$0.13$-0.16$-0.42
Gross Margin35.9%66.7%65.6%64.1%
Operating Margin13.9%9.2%-14.2%-6.9%
Net Margin-2.1%28.6%-28.9%-82.1%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesRevenue growth 11.9%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 88/100Score impact: -10.4pt

Volume
89
718K avg/day
Dollar Vol
96
$44M/day
Float
80
50M shares
Mkt Cap
74
$7.6B
Range
100
334% spread
Composite Liquidity Score88/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.35$41.70108.6%Wide
2022$13.54$44.70107%Wide
2023$12.81$29.7079.5%Wide
2024$15.00$41.1093%Wide
2025$17.24$74.88125.1%Wide
3-Year Range
141.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
39.2%
Outstanding Shares
127M
Bid-Ask Spread
334.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.