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49

ESEA

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Euroseas Ltd.

Conservative #636Aggressive #758Low Risk
$65.54+4.05%
Day High$65.82
Day Low$62.05
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$459M
52W Low $2652W High $66
Market Cap
$437M
P/E Ratio
3.5
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
12.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-1.5%
Profit Margin
54.0%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.52

Why This Score

ESEA scores 49.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 30.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 54.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 3.5x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ESEA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.3
Fundamental Score68.3
ML Score78.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.0
6 Month
79.3
Primary
1 Year
83.5

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality โ€” strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
66
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low float
Base
45.3
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.6
Final
49.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

76AVG
Value93
Quality91
Growth51
Stability76
Investment67

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)82.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)64.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)71.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 78

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score65.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+114.7%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.07)
Relative Strength vs Sector+96.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.953
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
24%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P99
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P88
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 68 relative to sector peers68/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
Blended score: 80% fundamental (68) + 20% ML (78) = 70.270.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #58 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ESEA49.33.512.4%54.0%$437M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Euroseas Ltd. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates containerships that transport dry and refrigerated containerized cargoes, including manufactured products and perishables. As of May 03, 2022, it had a fleet of 18 vessels, including 10 feeder and 8 intermediate containerships with a cargo capacity of approximately 58,871 twenty-foot equivalent unit (teu). The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

CEO
Aristides J. Pittas
Employees
365
Beta
0.84
Industry
Marine Shipping
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
88.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.7%
High: $66
From 52W Low
+205.1%
Low: $21.48
Moving Averages
10-Day
$60.30
Above
20-Day
$57.90
Above
50-Day
$56.00
Above
200-Day
$54.10
Above
60-Day Support
$51
60-Day Resistance
$65.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+21.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+17.79%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.52x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$57M$57M$57M$56M
Gross Profit$38M$36M$37M$34M
Operating Income$34M$33M$33M$40M
Net Income$40M$30M$30M$37M
EPS (Diluted)$5.79$4.25$4.29$5.29
Gross Margin67.0%62.8%63.9%60.4%
Operating Margin59.1%57.1%58.3%71.8%
Net Margin70.6%52.2%52.2%65.5%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 3.5Revenue growth 12.4%Profit margin 54.0%Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 3.5)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -19.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
35K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$2M/day
Float
0
3M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$437M
Range
0
155% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low floatlow dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$5.29$31.86143%Wide
2022$14.84$28.8564.1%Wide
2023$13.73$28.2169.1%Wide
2024$25.32$41.4148.2%Wide
2025$21.48$66.00101.8%Wide
3-Year Range
131.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
39.5%
Outstanding Shares
7M
Bid-Ask Spread
155.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.