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50

BBSI

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Barrett Business Services, Inc.

Conservative #616Aggressive #777Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 19pt
$26.83-14.74%
Day High$28.72
Day Low$25.33
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$689M
52W Low $2552W High $50
Market Cap
$687M
P/E Ratio
15.1
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
7.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
4.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.10

Why This Score

BBSI scores 50.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 24.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score50.3
Fundamental Score49.3
ML Score61.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
53.1
6 Month
59.4
Primary
1 Year
62.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
51
Grade Clow volume
Base
46.6
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+0.7
Final
50.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

64AVG
Value73
Quality49
Growth51
Stability72
Investment74

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)42.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.7% to -0.4%
Medium-term
-7.1% to -0.5%
Long-term
-9.4% to -0.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 61

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+48.6%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+14.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.60)
Relative Strength vs Sector-31.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality-0.135
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P55
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P89
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P49
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
Blended score: 80% fundamental (49) + 20% ML (61) = 51.651.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 35% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #56 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BBSI50.315.17.0%4.5%$687M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Barrett Business Services, Inc. provides business management solutions for small and mid-sized companies in the United States. The company develops a management platform that integrates a knowledge-based approach from the management consulting industry with tools from the human resource outsourcing industry. It offers professional employer services under which it enters into a client services agreement to establish a co-employment relationship with each client company, assuming responsibility for payroll, payroll taxes, workers' compensation coverage, and other administration functions for the client's existing workforce. The company also provides staffing and recruiting services, such as on-demand or short-term staffing assignment, contract staffing, direct placement, and long-term or indefinite-term on-site management services. It serves electronics manufacturers, light-manufacturing industries, agriculture-based companies, transportation and shipping enterprises, food processors, telecommunications companies, public utilities, general contractors in various construction-related fields, and professional services firms. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

CEO
Gary Edward Kramer Jr.
Employees
135,727
Beta
0.97
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
15.5
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-46%
High: $49.65
From 52W Low
+5.9%
Low: $25.33
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.30
Below
20-Day
$34.00
Below
50-Day
$36.00
Below
200-Day
$40.80
Below
60-Day Support
$25.33
60-Day Resistance
$40.02
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 5/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-34.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-3.27%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.72x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
91
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$321M$319M$308M$293M
Gross Profit$68M$77M$73M$43M
Operating Income$19M$25M$23M$-4M
Net Income$16M$21M$18M$-1M
EPS (Diluted)$0.64$0.79$0.70$-0.04
Gross Margin21.3%24.1%23.8%14.6%
Operating Margin5.8%7.8%7.5%-1.4%
Net Margin5.1%6.5%6.0%-0.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 15.1Valuation below sector median (P/E 15.1)

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 51/100Score impact: -8.6pt

Volume
42
175K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
55
25M shares
Mkt Cap
36
$687M
Range
92
64% spread
Composite Liquidity Score51/100
FDCBA
low volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$16.15$21.7129.4%Moderate
2022$14.44$25.2054.3%Wide
2023$19.06$29.8544.1%Wide
2024$27.06$44.3948.5%Wide
2025$33.01$49.6540.3%Wide
3-Year Range
89%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
96.2%
Outstanding Shares
26M
Bid-Ask Spread
64.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.