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ASTE

🏭 Industrials

Astec Industries, Inc.

Conservative #543Aggressive #1023Low RiskML↑ 17pt
$62.34+1.68%
Day High$64.37
Day Low$61.34
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $3052W High $64
Market Cap
$1.4B
P/E Ratio
28.1
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-2.5%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-87.2%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.53

Why This Score

ASTE scores 53.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score53.2
Fundamental Score54.7
ML Score52.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.5
6 Month
76.6
Primary
1 Year
80.6

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
57
Grade Clow volume
Base
49.2
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Final
53.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

52AVG
Value67
Quality33
Growth18
Stability78
Investment64

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)35.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)54.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.0% to +7.8%
Medium-term
+5.1% to +12.5%
Long-term
+7.8% to +17.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 52

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside-37.7%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.7%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+39.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.42)
Relative Strength vs Sector+58.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.620
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
17%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P22
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P42
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P53
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 52th percentileP52
Blended score: 80% fundamental (55) + 20% ML (52) = 54.254.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 10% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #49 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ASTE53.228.1-2.5%3.5%$1.4B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The Infrastructure Solutions segment offers asphalt plants and related components, heaters, concrete dust control systems, asphalt pavers, vaporizers, concrete material handling systems, screeds, heat recovery units, paste back-fill plants, asphalt storage tanks, hot oil heaters, bagging plants, fuel storage tanks, industrial and asphalt burners and systems, custom batch plants, material transfer vehicles, soil stabilizing-reclaiming machinery, blower trucks and trailers, milling machines, soil remediation plants, wood chippers and grinders, pump trailers, concrete batch plants, control systems, liquid terminals, storage equipment and related parts, construction and retrofits, polymer plants, and concrete mixers, as well as engineering and environmental permitting services. This segment provides its products to asphalt producers, highway and heavy equipment contractors, ready mix concrete producers, contractors in the construction and demolition recycling markets, and governmental agencies. The Materials Solutions segment designs and manufactures crushing equipment, mobile plants, bulk material handling solutions, vibrating equipment, screening equipment, electrical control centers, modular plants and systems, conveying equipment, plant automation products, portable plants, and mineral processing equipment, as well as offers consulting and engineering services. Astec Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

CEO
Jaco G. van der Merwe
Employees
4,148
Beta
1.45
Industry
Agricultural - Machinery
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
72.5
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.2%
High: $64.37
From 52W Low
+110.3%
Low: $29.65
Moving Averages
10-Day
$58.90
Above
20-Day
$56.40
Above
50-Day
$50.80
Above
200-Day
$45.40
Above
60-Day Support
$43.2
60-Day Resistance
$64.37
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+37.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.89%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.17x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
65
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$401M$350M$330M$329M
Gross Profit$109M$89M$88M$93M
Operating Income$23M$1M$21M$21M
Net Income$12M$-4M$17M$14M
EPS (Diluted)$0.52$-0.18$0.72$0.62
Gross Margin27.3%25.3%26.7%28.1%
Operating Margin5.7%0.3%6.5%6.2%
Net Margin3.0%-1.2%5.1%4.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 28.1)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 57/100Score impact: -7.1pt

Volume
46
189K avg/day
Dollar Vol
62
$11M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
46
$1.4B
Range
100
102% spread
Composite Liquidity Score57/100
FDCBA
low volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$50.29$80.0045.6%Wide
2022$31.04$72.9680.6%Wide
2023$28.97$56.3364.2%Wide
2024$28.46$44.7444.5%Wide
2025$29.65$50.8352.6%Wide
3-Year Range
65.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.6%
Outstanding Shares
23M
Bid-Ask Spread
102.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.