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49

WLDN

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Willdan Group, Inc.

Conservative #641Aggressive #407Moderate Risk
$119.60+2.13%
Day High$121.29
Day Low$114.88
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $3052W High $137
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
41.8
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
10.9%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
106.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.24

Why This Score

WLDN scores 49.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High conviction (74/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (259%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.8x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (16.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.0
Fundamental Score55.2
ML Score40.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.1
6 Month
77.3
Primary
1 Year
81.3

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.8%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
75
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
62
Grade Blow float
Base
45.0
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-0.0
Final
49.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value38
Quality46
Growth81
Stability77
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)58.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.8% to +7.6%
Medium-term
+5.1% to +12.4%
Long-term
+7.4% to +17.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 40

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+21.0%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score75.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+2.6%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+252.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.03)
Relative Strength vs Sector+248.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+2.227
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P70
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P27
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P58
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 40th percentileP40
Blended score: 80% fundamental (55) + 20% ML (40) = 52.252.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 14% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 259% โ†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.0pt (ML 15pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #60 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WLDN49.041.810.9%6.4%$1.8B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical and consulting services primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers comprehensive audit and surveys, program design, master planning, demand reduction, grid optimization, benchmarking analyses, design engineering, construction management, performance contracting, installation, alternative financing, and measurement and verification services, as well as software and data analytics. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides building and safety, city engineering and code enforcement, development plan review and inspection, disaster recovery, geotechnical and earthquake engineering, planning and surveying, contract staff support, program and construction management, structural engineering, transportation and traffic engineering, and water resources services. This segment also offers district administration, financial consulting, and federal compliance services; and communications and technology services. It serves public and governmental agencies, including cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, and universities; investor and municipal owned energy utilities; state and federal agencies; and commercial and industrial firms, as well as various other special districts and agencies. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.

CEO
Michael A. Bieber
Employees
1,761
Beta
0.98
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.7%
High: $137
From 52W Low
+293%
Low: $30.43
Moving Averages
10-Day
$115.70
Above
20-Day
$117.60
Above
50-Day
$117.80
Above
200-Day
$94.10
Above
60-Day Support
$95.99
60-Day Resistance
$137
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 88/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+27.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+32.64%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2026Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$174M$182M$173M$152M
Gross Profit$63M$67M$68M$58M
Operating Income$10M$15M$12M$7M
Net Income$19M$14M$15M$5M
EPS (Diluted)$1.23$0.90$1.03$0.32
Gross Margin36.0%36.9%39.4%37.8%
Operating Margin6.0%8.2%6.8%4.6%
Net Margin10.8%7.5%8.9%3.1%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 10.9%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 62/100Score impact: -13.5pt

Volume
56
261K avg/day
Dollar Vol
86
$29M/day
Float
31
14M shares
Mkt Cap
53
$1.8B
Range
100
350% spread
Composite Liquidity Score62/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$30.01$51.0051.8%Wide
2022$10.98$35.58105.7%Wide
2023$13.86$25.3858.7%Wide
2024$17.23$50.0097.5%Wide
2025$30.43$121.00119.6%Wide
3-Year Range
158.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
97.1%
Outstanding Shares
15M
Bid-Ask Spread
350.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.