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11

PPHC

🏭 Industrials

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock

Conservative #1367Aggressive #1164Moderate RiskML↑ 31pt
$11.56-3.34%
Day High$12.00
Day Low$11.25
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$330M
52W Low $1152W High $13
Market Cap
$350M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
5.9%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-60.8%
Profit Margin
-16.4%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.85

Why This Score

PPHC scores 10.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -18.9 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, PPHC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score10.7
Fundamental Score25.6
ML Score31.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.3
6 Month
75.2
Primary
1 Year
79.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality β€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected β€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (224.2%) β€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
34
Grade Dlow dollar volume, low float
Base
11.7
SHAP
-0.9
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
-1.1
Final
10.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

42AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth26
Stability63
Investment72

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.1% to +4.3%
Medium-term
+0.5% to +7.2%
Long-term
+1.1% to +10.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 31

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+39.3%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 β€” Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-10.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
21%
Moderate β€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P53
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P80
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 26 relative to sector peers26/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 31th percentileP31
Blended score: 80% fundamental (26) + 20% ML (31) = 26.726.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered β€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Conviction adj: -1.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (224.2%) β€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials β€” Rank #132 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PPHC10.7N/A5.9%-16.4%$350M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%β€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. provides consulting services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Government Relations Consulting, Public Affairs Consulting, and Diversified Services. The Government Relations Consulting segment offers federal and state advocacy, strategic guidance, political intelligence, and issue monitoring services. The Public Affairs Consulting segment provides crisis communications, community relations, social media and digital podcasting, public opinion research, branding and messaging, relationship marketing, and litigation support. The Diversified Services segment offers lobbying compliance and legislative tracking services. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.

CEO
George Stewart Hall
Employees
367
Beta
-0.09
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
26.6
Oversold
Trend
N/A
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.1%
High: $13
From 52W Low
+2.8%
Low: $11.25
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.20
Below
20-Day
$12.30
Below
50-Day
N/A
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$11.25
60-Day Resistance
$13

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
β€”
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
β€”
β€”
Stop Level
β€”
β€”

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only β€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue$49M$39M$39M
Gross Profit$5M$39M$4M
Operating Income$-6M$-4M$-5M
Net Income$-7M$-7M$-7M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.09$0.00$0.00
Gross Margin10.1%100.0%11.1%
Operating Margin-12.1%-11.5%-12.2%
Net Margin-15.2%-17.1%-17.0%

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade D β€” 34/100Score impact: -44.6pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor β€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
57
269K avg/day
Dollar Vol
29
$3M/day
Float
38
16M shares
Mkt Cap
15
$350M
Range
0
15% spread
Composite Liquidity Score34/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumelow floatsmall capsideways trading

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
57.5%
Outstanding Shares
29M
Bid-Ask Spread
15.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.