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63

CHRW

🏭 Industrials

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

Conservative #246Aggressive #208Low RiskLow 15F↑ 43pt
Market Cap
$20.8B
P/E Ratio
36.5
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
-8.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
26.1%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.76

Why This Score

CHRW scores 62.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 31.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (10.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-1.6 points) applied. CHRW's rank of #246 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score62.8
Fundamental Score55.3
ML Score81.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
4.1
6 Month
4.6
Primary
1 Year
4.8

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
63
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
60.4
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.6
Final
62.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

62AVG
Value55
Quality55
Growth60
Stability60
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.9% to +11.1%
Medium-term
+5.7% to +16.3%
Long-term
+9.8% to +25.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 81

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+4.5%
Coverage45 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.8%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+39.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector+65.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.675
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P34
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P65
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 19th percentileP19
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (61.3) + 9% ML (18.7) + SHAP(+4.4) = 61.8—
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 10.4%. Max drawdown 12% (-1.7 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($20.8B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -3.4pt (conviction=15)—
Divergence penalty: -4.9pt (fund 43pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #21 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CHRW62.836.5-8.4%3.6%$20.8B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for CHRW.

Why This Stock

IndustrialsEarnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 98/100Score impact: -7.8pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$391M/day
Float
100
118M shares
Mkt Cap
86
$20.8B
Range
100
140% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$84.67$108.0624.3%Narrow
2022$86.57$121.2333.4%Moderate
2023$78.69$108.0531.4%Moderate
2024$65.00$114.8255.4%Wide
2025$84.68$167.9065.9%Wide
3-Year Range
88.4%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.4%
Outstanding Shares
119M
Bid-Ask Spread
140.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.