Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
CWST scores 43.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.1 points) applied. CWST's rank of #793 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWST | 43.9 | 432.2 | 23.1% | 0.9% | $5.6B |
| FER | 84.1 | 12.2 | 7.4% | 35.3% | $53.6B |
| NDSN | 77.2 | 35.1 | 3.8% | 17.4% | $16.0B |
| OMAB | 76.4 | 20.1 | 4.3% | 32.7% | $6.0B |
| ODFL | 76.3 | 39.8 | -0.9% | 20.4% | $42.2B |
| FAST | 73.1 | 42.6 | 8.7% | 15.3% | $52.8B |
| CSX | 71.5 | 26.5 | -3.1% | 20.5% | $79.2B |
| WWD | 71.3 | 47.8 | 7.3% | 12.4% | $23.1B |
| LECO | 71.3 | 31.5 | -4.4% | 11.6% | $15.5B |
| PCAR | 71.0 | 28.2 | -4.2% | 12.4% | $65.2B |
| CTAS | 70.8 | 41.9 | 7.7% | 17.5% | $80.2B |
| RYAAY | 69.9 | 13.0 | 3.8% | 11.6% | $35.5B |
| CPRT | 69.5 | 23.0 | 9.7% | 33.4% | $36.2B |
| FELE | 69.3 | 35.5 | -2.1% | 8.9% | $4.4B |
| NSSC | 68.9 | 34.5 | -3.8% | 24.7% | $1.6B |
| AEIS | 68.0 | 81.2 | 21.4% | 8.3% | $12.5B |
| Sector Average | 45.8 | 49.9 | 19.0% | -48.2% | โ |
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the northeastern United States. It offers resource management services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. The company provides a range of non-hazardous solid waste services, including collections, transfer stations, and disposal facilities. It also markets recyclable metals, aluminum, plastics, and paper and corrugated cardboard that are processed at its facilities, as well as recyclables purchased from third parties. In addition, the company is involved in commodity brokerage operations. As of January 31, 2022, it owned and/or operated 50 solid waste collection operations, 65 transfer stations, 23 recycling facilities, 8 Subtitle D landfills, 3 landfill gas-to-energy facilities, and 1 landfill permitted to accept construction and demolition materials. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Stage 4 downtrend โ price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $469M | $485M | $465M | $417M |
| Gross Profit | $77M | $91M | $80M | $65M |
| Operating Income | $21M | $34M | $26M | $9M |
| Net Income | $-3M | $10M | $5M | $-5M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.04 | $0.16 | $0.08 | $-0.08 |
| Gross Margin | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Operating Margin | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Net Margin | -0.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | -1.2% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $57.71 | $89.84 | 43.6% | Wide |
| 2022 | $63.90 | $92.75 | 36.8% | Wide |
| 2023 | $72.33 | $95.78 | 27.9% | Moderate |
| 2024 | $80.04 | $114.88 | 35.7% | Wide |
| 2025 | $82.22 | $121.24 | 38.4% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.