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52

CWCO

๐Ÿ’ก Utilities

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.

Conservative #569Aggressive #1185Low RiskMLโ†‘ 17pt
$37.85+0.03%
Day High$38.45
Day Low$37.38
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$603M
52W Low $2352W High $39
Market Cap
$613M
P/E Ratio
35.0
Sector avg: 28.2
Rev Growth
-25.7%
Sector avg: 23.4%
Earnings Growth
-4.6%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Sector avg: 4.3%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

CWCO scores 52.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (40%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CWCO would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.3
Fundamental Score66.9
ML Score50.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.2
6 Month
78.5
Primary
1 Year
82.6

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
29
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
48.6
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-0.3
Final
52.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

53AVG
Value58
Quality43
Growth17
Stability87
Investment58

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)69.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.2% to +5.2%
Medium-term
-1.6% to +8.1%
Long-term
-1.9% to +11.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 50

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+27.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.32)
Relative Strength vs Sector+25.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.378
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P5
Revenue growth vs Utilities peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Utilities peers
Sector FCF Rank
P68
Free cash flow vs Utilities peers
Growth Deviation
-0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
Blended score: 80% fundamental (67) + 20% ML (50) = 63.563.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 5% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.3pt (ML 17pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Utilities โ€” Rank #12 of 19 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CWCO52.335.0-25.7%12.9%$613M
AEP74.319.510.9%16.4%$72.6B
EVRG72.822.76.2%14.9%$19.2B
OTTR71.412.9-2.0%21.2%$3.6B
LNT69.622.4-1.1%17.3%$18.5B
EXC67.217.85.3%11.4%$50.8B
ENLT60.568.352.7%11.1%$9.6B
NWE56.323.46.4%11.2%$4.3B
CEG55.833.0-5.4%15.9%$102.3B
HTO54.018.011.6%13.6%$2.0B
TLN53.778.8-14.1%48.1%$16.9B
MGEE53.122.0-2.0%18.6%$3.0B
MSEX51.623.31.5%22.0%$1.0B
RNW43.414.919.4%9.2%$2.0B
ARTNA42.815.39.2%20.2%$345M
YORW35.323.55.5%26.1%$478M
Sector Average51.828.223.4%4.3%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, manages, and operates water production and water treatment plants primarily in the Cayman Islands, the Bahamas, and the United States. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Bulk, Services, and Manufacturing. It uses reverse osmosis technology to produce potable water from seawater. The company produces and supplies water to end-users, including residential, commercial, and government customers, as well as government-owned distributors. It also provides design, engineering, construction, procurement, and management services for desalination projects and water treatment plants, as well as management and engineering services relating to municipal water distribution and treatment. In addition, the company manufactures and services a range of water-related products, including reverse osmosis desalination equipment, membrane separation equipment, filtration equipment, piping systems, vessels, and custom fabricated components; and provides design, engineering, consulting, management, inspection, training, and equipment maintenance services for commercial, municipal, and industrial water production, supply, and treatment, as well as desalination and wastewater treatment. Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.

CEO
Frederick W. McTaggart
Employees
307
Beta
0.49
Industry
Regulated Water
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.2%
High: $39.12
From 52W Low
+66.8%
Low: $22.69
Moving Averages
10-Day
$37.30
Above
20-Day
$37.30
Above
50-Day
$36.70
Above
200-Day
$33.10
Above
60-Day Support
$33.28
60-Day Resistance
$39.12
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+14.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+11.05%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.16x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$31.47
Stop Entry Now Target
$46.58
Entry Zone
$36.33 โ€“ $37.80
SMA50 pullback zone ($36.33โ€“$37.8)
Exit Target
$45.22
52-week high / +22% target ($45.22)
Stop Level
$32.44
Below SMA200 ($32.44)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.76Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$35M$34M$34M$28M
Gross Profit$13M$13M$12M$8M
Operating Income$6M$5M$5M$1M
Net Income$6M$5M$5M$1M
EPS (Diluted)$0.34$0.32$0.30$0.09
Gross Margin36.9%38.2%36.5%29.9%
Operating Margin16.4%15.7%13.7%3.8%
Net Margin15.8%15.2%14.2%5.1%

Why This Stock

UtilitiesProfit margin 12.9%

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 29/100Score impact: -3.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
7
70K avg/day
Dollar Vol
20
$3M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
32
$613M
Range
96
72% spread
Composite Liquidity Score29/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$10.36$15.3738.9%Wide
2022$9.01$20.5878.2%Wide
2023$13.66$38.2994.8%Wide
2024$23.55$36.2042.3%Wide
2025$22.69$38.3651.3%Wide
3-Year Range
95%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
72.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.