Back to Dashboard
24

CDZI

๐Ÿ’ก Utilities

Cadiz Inc.

Conservative #1213Aggressive #741Low Risk
$5.20-2.07%
Day High$5.32
Day Low$5.13
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$437M
52W Low $252W High $7
Market Cap
$439M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
382.6%
Sector avg: 23.4%
Earnings Growth
1.0%
Profit Margin
-206.6%
Sector avg: 4.3%
Debt/Equity
1.11

Why This Score

CDZI scores 23.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (15%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (14.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.11) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.9
Fundamental Score33.8
ML Score10.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
39.1
6 Month
43.7
Primary
1 Year
46.0

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
77
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
70
Grade Blow dollar volume, small cap
Base
27.0
SHAP
-2.1
Factors
+0.3
Divergence
-1.3
Final
23.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

39AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth71
Stability64
Investment12

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)53.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.5% to -1.8%
Medium-term
-9.0% to -2.1%
Long-term
-11.5% to -2.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 10

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+90.9%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score77.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-21.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.41)
Relative Strength vs Sector+1.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.1)
Momentum Quality+0.133
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P100
Revenue growth vs Utilities peers
Sector PE Rank
P53
Valuation vs Utilities peers
Sector FCF Rank
P16
Free cash flow vs Utilities peers
Growth Deviation
+3.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 34 relative to sector peers34/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 10th percentileP10
Blended score: 80% fundamental (34) + 20% ML (10) = 29.029.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 13% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Divergence penalty: -1.3pt (ML 24pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Utilities โ€” Rank #18 of 19 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CDZI23.9N/A382.6%-206.6%$439M
AEP74.319.510.9%16.4%$72.6B
EVRG72.822.76.2%14.9%$19.2B
OTTR71.412.9-2.0%21.2%$3.6B
LNT69.622.4-1.1%17.3%$18.5B
EXC67.217.85.3%11.4%$50.8B
ENLT60.568.352.7%11.1%$9.6B
NWE56.323.46.4%11.2%$4.3B
CEG55.833.0-5.4%15.9%$102.3B
HTO54.018.011.6%13.6%$2.0B
TLN53.778.8-14.1%48.1%$16.9B
MGEE53.122.0-2.0%18.6%$3.0B
CWCO52.335.0-25.7%12.9%$613M
MSEX51.623.31.5%22.0%$1.0B
RNW43.414.919.4%9.2%$2.0B
ARTNA42.815.39.2%20.2%$345M
Sector Average51.828.223.4%4.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cadiz Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a natural resources development company in the United States. It engages in the water resource and agricultural development activities in San Bernardino County properties. The company owns approximately 35,000 acres of land in the Cadiz and Fenner valleys of eastern San Bernardino County; and approximately 11,000 acres of land in the eastern Mojave Desert portion of San Bernardino County. It is also involved in the cultivation of lemons, and spring and fall plantings of vegetables and grains. Cadiz Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

CEO
Susan Kennedy
Employees
25
Beta
2.05
Industry
Regulated Water
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-25.3%
High: $6.96
From 52W Low
+144.1%
Low: $2.13
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.30
Below
20-Day
$5.10
Above
50-Day
$5.60
Below
200-Day
$4.40
Above
60-Day Support
$4.42
60-Day Resistance
$6.96
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 82/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+18.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+18.57%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$4.18
Stop Entry Now Target
$7.17
Entry Zone
$5.54 โ€“ $5.77
SMA50 pullback zone ($5.54โ€“$5.77)
Exit Target
$6.96
52-week high / +22% target ($6.96)
Stop Level
$4.31
Below SMA200 ($4.31)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.97Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$4M$4M$3M$5M
Gross Profit$1M$1M$876,000$2M
Operating Income$-5M$-6M$-8M$-7M
Net Income$-7M$-8M$-10M$-9M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.10$-0.11$-0.14$-0.14
Gross Margin27.3%35.4%29.7%36.1%
Operating Margin-118.0%-140.0%-255.0%-139.5%
Net Margin-170.3%-187.3%-324.7%-181.6%

Why This Stock

UtilitiesRevenue growth 382.6%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 70/100Score impact: -26.8pt

Volume
96
902K avg/day
Dollar Vol
46
$5M/day
Float
82
56M shares
Mkt Cap
24
$439M
Range
100
227% spread
Composite Liquidity Score70/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$3.51$14.69122.9%Wide
2022$1.48$5.23111.8%Wide
2023$2.43$5.8082%Wide
2024$2.12$5.2484.8%Wide
2025$2.13$6.49101.2%Wide
3-Year Range
101.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
66.6%
Outstanding Shares
84M
Bid-Ask Spread
227.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.