Northwestern Energy Group Inc
NWE scores 56.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-4.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWE | 56.3 | 23.4 | 6.4% | 11.2% | $4.3B |
| AEP | 74.3 | 19.5 | 10.9% | 16.4% | $72.6B |
| EVRG | 72.8 | 22.7 | 6.2% | 14.9% | $19.2B |
| OTTR | 71.4 | 12.9 | -2.0% | 21.2% | $3.6B |
| LNT | 69.6 | 22.4 | -1.1% | 17.3% | $18.5B |
| EXC | 67.2 | 17.8 | 5.3% | 11.4% | $50.8B |
| ENLT | 60.5 | 68.3 | 52.7% | 11.1% | $9.6B |
| CEG | 55.8 | 33.0 | -5.4% | 15.9% | $102.3B |
| HTO | 54.0 | 18.0 | 11.6% | 13.6% | $2.0B |
| TLN | 53.7 | 78.8 | -14.1% | 48.1% | $16.9B |
| MGEE | 53.1 | 22.0 | -2.0% | 18.6% | $3.0B |
| CWCO | 52.3 | 35.0 | -25.7% | 12.9% | $613M |
| MSEX | 51.6 | 23.3 | 1.5% | 22.0% | $1.0B |
| RNW | 43.4 | 14.9 | 19.4% | 9.2% | $2.0B |
| ARTNA | 42.8 | 15.3 | 9.2% | 20.2% | $345M |
| YORW | 35.3 | 23.5 | 5.5% | 26.1% | $478M |
| Sector Average | 51.8 | 28.2 | 23.4% | 4.3% | โ |
NorthWestern Corporation, doing business as NorthWestern Energy, provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and various industrial customers. The company operates through Electric and Natural Gas segments. It generates, purchases, transmits, and distributes electricity; and produces, purchases, stores, transmits, and distributes natural gas, as well as owns municipal franchises to provide natural gas service in the communities. The company operates 6,819 miles of electric transmission and 18,177 miles of electric distribution lines with approximately 400 transmission and distribution substations; and 2,166 miles of natural gas transmission and 4,945 miles of natural gas distribution lines with approximately 138 city gate stations in Montana. It also operates 1,308 miles of electric transmission and 2,320 miles of electric distribution lines in South Dakota; and 55 miles of natural gas transmission and 2,517 miles of natural gas distribution lines in South Dakota and Nebraska. The company serves approximately 753,600 customers in Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone National Park. NorthWestern Corporation was incorporated in 1923 and is based in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.
Stage 2 uptrend โ institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $414M | $387M | $343M | $467M |
| Gross Profit | $203M | $323M | $205M | $272M |
| Operating Income | $60M | $80M | $61M | $125M |
| Net Income | $45M | $38M | $21M | $77M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.72 | $0.62 | $0.35 | $1.25 |
| Gross Margin | 49.0% | 83.4% | 59.8% | 58.2% |
| Operating Margin | 14.5% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 26.7% |
| Net Margin | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 16.5% |
This stock has traded in a compressed range for 4 of the last 5 years (3-year range: 40.4%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -2.8pt penalty has been applied.
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $53.66 | $70.80 | 27.5% | Moderate |
| 2022 | $48.68 | $63.06 | 25.7% | Moderate |
| 2023 | $45.97 | $61.24 | 28.5% | Moderate |
| 2024 | $46.15 | $57.49 | 21.9% | Narrow |
| 2025 | $50.46 | $69.23 | 31.4% | Moderate |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.