Back to Dashboard
40

CMCO

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Columbus McKinnon Corporation

Conservative #884Aggressive #1278Low RiskMLโ†‘ 22pt
$18.98-1.09%
Day High$19.10
Day Low$18.33
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$545M
52W Low $1252W High $24
Market Cap
$549M
P/E Ratio
91.3
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-5.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-111.0%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.49

Why This Score

CMCO scores 40.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (19%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 91.3x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Moderate penalties (-7.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.0
Fundamental Score49.4
ML Score19.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.8
6 Month
78.0
Primary
1 Year
82.1

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-835.1%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
59
Grade C
Base
38.3
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-2.3
Final
40.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

46AVG
Value38
Quality24
Growth15
Stability82
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)23.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.4% to +5.9%
Medium-term
+2.7% to +9.6%
Long-term
+4.0% to +13.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 19

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.7/100
Target Upside+7.2%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-18.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.51)
Relative Strength vs Sector+8.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.2)
Momentum Quality+0.162
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P14
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P5
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 19th percentileP19
Blended score: 80% fundamental (49) + 20% ML (19) = 43.343.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 14% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.3pt (ML 30pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-835.1%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #91 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CMCO40.091.3-5.0%0.6%$549M
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Columbus McKinnon Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets intelligent motion solutions to ergonomically move, lift, position, and secure materials worldwide. The company offers electric, air-powered, lever, and hand hoists; hoist trolleys, explosion-protected and custom engineered hoists, and winches; crane systems, such as crane components and kits, enclosed track rail systems, mobile and jib cranes, and fall protection systems, as well as material handling solutions; rigging equipment comprising below-the-hook lifting devices, shackles, chains and chains accessories, forestry and hand tools, lifting slings, lashing systems, and tie-downs and load binders; rotary unions and swivel joints; and mechanical and electromechanical actuators. It also provides power and motion technology products, including AC motor controls and line regenerative systems, automation and diagnostics, brakes, cable and festoon systems, collision avoidance systems, conductor bar systems, DC motor and magnet control systems, elevator drives, inverter duty motors, mining drives, pendant pushbutton stations, radio controls, and wind inverters; power delivery subsystems; overhead aluminum light rail workstations; and low profile, flexible chain, large scale, sanitary, and vertical elevation conveyor systems, as well as pallet system conveyors and accumulation systems. The company serves market verticals, including general industries, transportation, energy and utilities, process industries, industrial automation, construction and infrastructure, food and beverage, entertainment, life sciences, consumer packaged goods, and e-commerce/supply chain/warehousing. It offers its products to end users directly, as well as through distributors, independent crane builders, material handling specialists and integrators, government agencies, original equipment manufacturers, and engineering procurement and construction firms. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

CEO
David J. Wilson
Employees
3,515
Beta
1.30
Industry
Agricultural - Machinery
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
22.2
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.2%
High: $24.4
From 52W Low
+61.1%
Low: $11.78
Moving Averages
10-Day
$19.30
Below
20-Day
$20.60
Below
50-Day
$19.70
Below
200-Day
$16.50
Above
60-Day Support
$16.16
60-Day Resistance
$24.4
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 73/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+15%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.51%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.2x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
64
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$15.68
Stop Entry Now Target
$25.13
Entry Zone
$19.50 โ€“ $20.29
SMA50 pullback zone ($19.5โ€“$20.29)
Exit Target
$24.40
52-week high / +22% target ($24.4)
Stop Level
$16.17
Below SMA200 ($16.17)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.21Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$259M$261M$236M$247M
Gross Profit$82M$90M$77M$80M
Operating Income$23M$12M$5M$5M
Net Income$6M$5M$-2M$-3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.21$0.16$-0.07$-0.09
Gross Margin31.9%34.5%32.7%32.3%
Operating Margin9.0%4.7%2.3%2.0%
Net Margin2.3%1.8%-0.8%-1.1%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 91.3)

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 59/100Score impact: -11.5pt

Volume
64
341K avg/day
Dollar Vol
53
$6M/day
Float
58
28M shares
Mkt Cap
31
$549M
Range
100
107% spread
Composite Liquidity Score59/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$41.22$57.0632.2%Moderate
2022$23.54$50.1872.3%Wide
2023$30.29$42.8734.4%Moderate
2024$29.26$45.8444.2%Wide
2025$11.78$37.81105%Wide
3-Year Range
118.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.1%
Outstanding Shares
29M
Bid-Ask Spread
107.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.