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46

AXON

๐Ÿญ Industrials

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

Conservative #725Aggressive #375Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 17pt
$542.40-1.42%
Day High$545.02
Day Low$524.06
Volume1.5M
Mkt Cap$43.6B
52W Low $39652W High $886
Market Cap
$34.1B
P/E Ratio
135.1
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
33.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
114.5%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.31

Why This Score

AXON scores 46.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 135.1x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (13.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. AXON's rank of #725 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.3
Fundamental Score41.9
ML Score44.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.6
6 Month
71.1
Primary
1 Year
74.8

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality โ€” strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
42.3
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.6
Final
46.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

64AVG
Value40
Quality85
Growth90
Stability75
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)58.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)33.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.0% to +5.5%
Medium-term
+2.1% to +8.9%
Long-term
+3.3% to +12.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 44

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.4/100
Target Upside+79.9%
Coverage18 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+23.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.44)
Relative Strength vs Sector-29.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.4)
Momentum Quality-0.097
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P89
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P34
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 44th percentileP44
Blended score: 80% fundamental (42) + 20% ML (44) = 42.342.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 48% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials โ€” Rank #71 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AXON46.3135.133.4%18.1%$34.1B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Axon Enterprise, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells conducted energy devices (CEDs) under the TASER brand in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, TASER, and Software and Sensors. The company also offers hardware and cloud-based software solutions that enable law enforcement to capture, securely store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence. Its products include TASER 7, TASER X26P, TASER X2, TASER Consumer devices, and related cartridges; on-officer body cameras, Axon Fleet in-car systems, and other devices; Axon Evidence digital evidence management software; Axon Signal enabled devices, as well as hardware extended warranties; and Axon docks, cartridges, and batteries. It sells its products through its direct sales force, distribution partners, online store, and third-party resellers. Axon Enterprise, Inc. has a strategic partnership with Fusus, Inc. to expand the capabilities of Axon Respond and the Fusus Real Time Crime Center in the Cloud solution to provide agencies real-time operations situational awareness, including streamlined investigative workflows. The company was formerly known as TASER International, Inc. and changed its name to Axon Enterprise, Inc. in April 2017. Axon Enterprise, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

CEO
Patrick W. Smith
Employees
4,100
Beta
1.48
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
79.1
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-38.8%
High: $885.92
From 52W Low
+36.8%
Low: $396.41
Moving Averages
10-Day
$464.50
Above
20-Day
$451.80
Above
50-Day
$538.70
Above
200-Day
$670.50
Below
60-Day Support
$396.41
60-Day Resistance
$649.89
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-19.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.13%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.37x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
78
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$797M$711M$669M$604M
Gross Profit$461M$427M$404M$366M
Operating Income$10M$-2M$1M$-8M
Net Income$3M$-2M$36M$88M
EPS (Diluted)$0.03$-0.03$0.44$1.08
Gross Margin57.9%60.1%60.4%60.6%
Operating Margin1.3%-0.3%0.2%-1.3%
Net Margin0.4%-0.3%5.4%14.6%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 33.4%Profit margin 18.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 95/100Score impact: +4.7pt

Volume
95
872K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$369M/day
Float
90
75M shares
Mkt Cap
92
$34.1B
Range
100
123% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
95.2%
Outstanding Shares
79M
Bid-Ask Spread
123.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.