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22

ATCX

🏭 Industrials

Atlas Technical Consultants, Inc.

Conservative #1258Aggressive #1252Moderate RiskF↑ 29pt
$12.25+0.00%
Day High$12.25
Day Low$12.24
Volume0.4M
Mkt Capβ€”
52W Low $552W High $12
Market Cap
N/A
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
12.2%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
72.8%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

ATCX scores 21.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -4.81) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -28.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ATCX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score21.5
Fundamental Score54.0
ML Score25.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
38.5
6 Month
43.0
Primary
1 Year
45.3

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality β€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
66
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fmicro cap, low dollar volume
Base
23.3
SHAP
+0.4
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
-0.8
Divergence
-2.1
Final
21.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value50
Quality27
Growth82
Stability60
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)69.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.8% to +0.5%
Medium-term
-5.4% to +1.0%
Long-term
-7.0% to +1.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 25

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+242.9%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score66.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-10.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P71
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P25
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 54 relative to sector peers54/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 25th percentileP25
Blended score: 80% fundamental (54) + 20% ML (25) = 48.248.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +0.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.1pt (ML 29pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials β€” Rank #122 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ATCX21.5N/A12.2%-1.3%N/A
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$53.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.0B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.0B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$42.2B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$52.8B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$79.2B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.1B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.5B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.2B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.2B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$35.5B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$36.2B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.4B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.6B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.5B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%β€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Atlas Technical Consultants, Inc. provides professional testing, inspection, engineering, environmental, and program management and consulting services in the United States. The company provides a range of technical services that helps its clients test, inspect, plan, design, certify, and manage various projects across various end markets. It offers testing, inspection, and certification services, such as construction materials testing; non-destructive testing and evaluations, materials testing and inspection, laboratory, and geophysics; construction quality assurance; owner verification and inspection; forensic and structural investigations; and materials laboratory services. The company also provides environmental services, including environmental permitting, compliance assistance, and auditing and compliance management system implementation; air quality; water, hazardous material permitting, and registration; underground storage tank management; leak detection and repair program management; water resource management; industrial hygiene and building science; and disaster response and recovery. In addition, it offers engineering and design services comprising civil site, transportation, and geotechnical engineering; hydrogeology; water/wastewater; solid waste/landfill; land acquisition; subsurface utility engineering; surveying and mapping; and geographic information system asset inventory and assessments. Further, the company offers program management/construction management/quality management services consisting of programmatic planning and phasing; contract document preparation; bid evaluation and award analysis; alternative/value engineering; project estimating and scheduling; project cost/schedule control; contract administration; project management; community relations/affairs; asset management; construction management; quality management and assurance; and construction engineering and inspection. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

CEO
L. Joseph Boyer
Employees
3,140
Beta
1.08
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
69.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.8%
High: $13
From 52W Low
+160.1%
Low: $4.71
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.20
Above
20-Day
$12.20
Above
50-Day
$12.20
Above
200-Day
$8.40
Above
60-Day Support
$12.07
60-Day Resistance
$12.34
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+45.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+15.63%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.3x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
62
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$7.98
Stop Entry Now Target
$15.49
Entry Zone
$12.08 – $12.57
SMA50 pullback zone ($12.08–$12.57)
Exit Target
$15.04
52-week high / +22% target ($15.04)
Stop Level
$8.23
Below SMA200 ($8.23)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.66Tight

Stage 2 uptrend β€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only β€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2022Q3 2022Q2 2022Q1 2022
Revenue$151M$162M$157M$135M
Gross Profit$71M$77M$74M$63M
Operating Income$9M$14M$11M$7M
Net Income$-4M$2M$-1M$-4M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.11$0.05$-0.04$-0.13
Gross Margin47.3%47.4%47.3%46.8%
Operating Margin5.8%8.6%6.8%5.1%
Net Margin-2.8%1.2%-0.9%-3.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 12.2%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade F β€” 0/100Score impact: -32.7pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor β€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
233K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$3M/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
N/A
Range
0
162% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
micro caplow dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$7.50$15.4069%Wide
2022$4.71$13.5796.9%Wide
3-Year Range
106.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
162.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.