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53

SKYW

🏭 Industrials

SkyWest, Inc.

Conservative #456Aggressive #387Low RiskHigh 94
$107.69+0.87%
Day High$108.54
Day Low$105.15
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$4.4B
52W Low $7552W High $124
Market Cap
$4.2B
P/E Ratio
9.6
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
15.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
32.6%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.87

Why This Score

SKYW scores 54.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Attractively valued at 9.6x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (94/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. SKYW's rank of #456 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score54.1
Fundamental Score51.4
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
72.4
6 Month
80.9
Primary
1 Year
85.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-677.6%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
59
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade B
Base
50.1
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.6
Final
54.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)70.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)51.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.8/100
Target Upside+29.8%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score59.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+19.5%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.37)
Relative Strength vs Sector-6.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality+0.042
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P78
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P67
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P81
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 78 relative to sector peers78/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 86th percentileP86
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (78.4) + 9% ML (86.3) + SHAP(+3.0) = 82.1
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.6%. Max drawdown 20% (-5.0 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.2B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.9pt (conviction=94)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-677.6%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #42 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SKYW54.19.615.0%10.6%$4.2B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy16 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 10Hold: 5
Price Target
$131consensus
Low $122Median $131High $140
+21.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SkyWest, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a regional airline in the United States. The company operates through two segment, SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Leasing. It also leases regional jet aircraft and spare engines to third parties. As of December 31, 2021, the company's fleet consisted of 629 aircraft; and provided scheduled passenger and air freight services with approximately 2,080 total daily departures to various destinations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean. In addition, it offers airport customer and ground handling services for other airlines. SkyWest, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in St. George, Utah.

CEO
Russell A. Childs
Employees
12,876
Beta
1.60
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-13.1%
High: $123.94
From 52W Low
+44.2%
Low: $74.7
Moving Averages
10-Day
$104.70
Above
20-Day
$103.30
Above
50-Day
$102.10
Above
200-Day
$104.20
Above
60-Day Support
$95.15
60-Day Resistance
$109.72
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 47/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
+3.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.28%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 50%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-11)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.0B$1.1B$1.0B$948M
Gross Profit$624M$252M$261M$220M
Operating Income$134M$174M$170M$139M
Net Income$91M$116M$120M$101M
EPS (Diluted)$2.21$2.82$2.90$2.42
Gross Margin60.9%24.0%25.2%23.2%
Operating Margin13.1%16.6%16.4%14.7%
Net Margin8.9%11.1%11.6%10.6%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 9.6Revenue growth 15.0%Profit margin 10.6%Valuation below sector median (P/E 9.6)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 72/100Score impact: -0.9pt

Volume
58
279K avg/day
Dollar Vol
86
$28M/day
Float
69
39M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$4.2B
Range
93
66% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$36.35$61.1650.9%Wide
2022$14.76$42.9797.7%Wide
2023$16.15$53.76107.6%Wide
2024$48.28$117.5183.5%Wide
2025$74.70$135.5757.9%Wide
3-Year Range
157.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.8%
Outstanding Shares
40M
Bid-Ask Spread
66.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.