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65

POWL

🏭 Industrials

Powell Industries, Inc.

Conservative #194Aggressive #92Moderate RiskModerate 70
$549.00-1.82%
Day High$566.00
Day Low$546.00
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$6.7B
52W Low $14652W High $613
Market Cap
$7.1B
P/E Ratio
38.0
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
9.1%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
20.6%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

POWL scores 65.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 28.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (96/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (246%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (15.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -11.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, POWL would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.0
Fundamental Score66.3
ML Score96.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
48.8
6 Month
54.6
Primary
1 Year
57.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
53
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
66
Grade Blow float
Base
63.2
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-2.2
Final
65.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth75
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)68.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)52.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.8% to +0.5%
Medium-term
-5.6% to +0.8%
Long-term
-7.5% to +1.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 96

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score52.8/100
Target Upside-6.5%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+2.5%
6M Momentum+1.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+126.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector+234.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+2.050
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P63
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P31
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P40
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 72 relative to sector peers72/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 57th percentileP57
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (72.2) + 9% ML (57.4) + SHAP(+3.1) = 74.0
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.7%. Max drawdown 17% (-3.5 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -6.0pt (246% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($7.1B market cap)+0.5 pts
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #17 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
POWL65.038.09.1%16.4%$7.1B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold9 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 6Sell: 1
Price Target
$506consensus
Low $427Median $506High $585
-7.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Powell Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and services custom-engineered equipment and systems for the distribution, control, and monitoring of electrical energy. The company's principal products include integrated power control room substations, custom-engineered modules, electrical houses, medium-voltage circuit breakers, monitoring and control communications systems, motor control centers, and bus duct systems, as well as traditional and arc-resistant distribution switchgears and control gears. Its products have application in voltages ranging from 480 volts to 38,000 volts; and are used in oil and gas refining, onshore and offshore oil and gas production, petrochemical, liquid natural gas terminals, pipeline, terminal, mining and metals, light rail traction power, electric utility, pulp and paper, and other heavy industrial markets. It also provides value-added services, such as spare parts, field service inspection, installation, commissioning, modification and repair, retrofit and retrofill components for existing systems, and replacement circuit breakers for switchgear. The company has operations in the United States, Canada, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Mexico, and Central and South America. Powell Industries, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Brett A. Cope
Employees
2,748
Beta
0.85
Industry
Electrical Equipment & Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
55.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.4%
High: $612.5
From 52W Low
+276%
Low: $146.02
Moving Averages
10-Day
$561.00
Below
20-Day
$531.50
Above
50-Day
$433.40
Above
200-Day
$308.20
Above
60-Day Support
$307
60-Day Resistance
$612.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+78.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+30.43%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.88x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$251M$298M$286M$279M
Gross Profit$71M$94M$88M$83M
Operating Income$43M$63M$60M$59M
Net Income$41M$51M$48M$46M
EPS (Diluted)$3.40$4.22$3.96$3.81
Gross Margin28.4%31.4%30.7%29.9%
Operating Margin17.0%21.2%21.0%21.1%
Net Margin16.5%17.3%16.8%16.6%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsProfit margin 16.4%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade B — 66/100Score impact: -17.4pt

Volume
57
269K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$147M/day
Float
15
10M shares
Mkt Cap
72
$7.1B
Range
100
319% spread
Composite Liquidity Score66/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$23.07$37.2847.1%Wide
2022$18.81$38.1467.9%Wide
2023$33.98$97.6396.7%Wide
2024$76.29$364.98130.8%Wide
2025$146.02$413.0095.5%Wide
3-Year Range
169.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
78.4%
Outstanding Shares
12M
Bid-Ask Spread
319.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.