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27

FLNC

๐Ÿ’ก Utilities

Fluence Energy, Inc.

Conservative #1154Aggressive #794High Risk
$15.54-4.07%
Day High$15.86
Day Low$15.22
Volume3.1M
Mkt Cap$2.9B
52W Low $352W High $34
Market Cap
$2.9B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-16.1%
Sector avg: 23.4%
Earnings Growth
-312.7%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Sector avg: 4.3%
Debt/Equity
1.01

Why This Score

FLNC scores 27.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (92/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (223%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Above-average volatility (36.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.01) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.1
Fundamental Score25.2
ML Score40.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
36.4
6 Month
40.6
Primary
1 Year
42.8

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.2%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
72
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
91
Grade A
Base
23.1
SHAP
+1.1
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+2.2
Final
27.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

26AVG
Value50
Quality9
Growth4
Stability36
Investment32

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)31.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)69.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.4% to -1.8%
Medium-term
-13.2% to -2.1%
Long-term
-17.1% to -2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 40

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+30.6%
Coverage27 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score72.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+2.2%
6M Momentum+1.5%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+73.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.67)
Relative Strength vs Sector+208.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.336
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P11
Revenue growth vs Utilities peers
Sector PE Rank
P53
Valuation vs Utilities peers
Sector FCF Rank
P5
Free cash flow vs Utilities peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 25 relative to sector peers25/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 40th percentileP40
Blended score: 80% fundamental (25) + 20% ML (40) = 28.228.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 40% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 223% โ†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.2pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Utilities โ€” Rank #17 of 19 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FLNC27.1N/A-16.1%-2.0%$2.9B
AEP74.319.510.9%16.4%$72.6B
EVRG72.822.76.2%14.9%$19.2B
OTTR71.412.9-2.0%21.2%$3.6B
LNT69.622.4-1.1%17.3%$18.5B
EXC67.217.85.3%11.4%$50.8B
ENLT60.568.352.7%11.1%$9.6B
NWE56.323.46.4%11.2%$4.3B
CEG55.833.0-5.4%15.9%$102.3B
HTO54.018.011.6%13.6%$2.0B
TLN53.778.8-14.1%48.1%$16.9B
MGEE53.122.0-2.0%18.6%$3.0B
CWCO52.335.0-25.7%12.9%$613M
MSEX51.623.31.5%22.0%$1.0B
RNW43.414.919.4%9.2%$2.0B
ARTNA42.815.39.2%20.2%$345M
Sector Average51.828.223.4%4.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Fluence Energy, Inc. provides energy storage products and services, and artificial intelligence enabled digital applications for renewables and storage applications worldwide. The company sells energy storage products with integrated hardware, software, and digital intelligence, as well as engineering and delivery services to support the deployment of its storage products; operational and maintenance, and energy storage-as-a-service; and digital applications and solutions. Its energy storage products include Gridstack, a grid-scale industrial strength energy storage product; Sunstack for optimizing solar capture and delivery; and Edgestack, a commercial energy storage product that discharges when needed to flatten a facility's energy load profile. The company serves utilities, developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fluence Energy, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Fluence Energy, Inc. is a joint venture of Siemens Aktiengesellschaft and The AES Corporation.

CEO
Julian Jose Nebreda Marquez
Employees
1,595
Beta
2.91
Industry
Renewable Utilities
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
21.2
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-53.6%
High: $33.51
From 52W Low
+349.1%
Low: $3.46
Moving Averages
10-Day
$16.70
Below
20-Day
$20.10
Below
50-Day
$22.00
Below
200-Day
$14.00
Above
60-Day Support
$15.22
60-Day Resistance
$33.51
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 77/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+58.2%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$13.31
Stop Entry Now Target
$34.52
Entry Zone
$21.78 โ€“ $22.66
SMA50 pullback zone ($21.78โ€“$22.66)
Exit Target
$33.51
52-week high / +22% target ($33.51)
Stop Level
$13.72
Below SMA200 ($13.72)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.33Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$475M$1.0B$603M$432M
Gross Profit$23M$143M$89M$43M
Operating Income$-63M$48M$4M$-45M
Net Income$-45M$18M$6M$-31M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.34$0.10$0.03$-0.24
Gross Margin4.9%13.7%14.8%9.9%
Operating Margin-13.3%4.6%0.7%-10.4%
Net Margin-9.5%1.7%1.0%-7.2%

Why This Stock

UtilitiesValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 91/100Score impact: -48.0pt

Volume
100
6.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$97M/day
Float
86
65M shares
Mkt Cap
60
$2.9B
Range
100
868% spread
Composite Liquidity Score91/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$4.96$36.71152.4%Wide
2023$14.70$31.3272.2%Wide
2024$12.74$26.1268.9%Wide
2025$3.46$25.85152.8%Wide
3-Year Range
160.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
50.0%
Outstanding Shares
131M
Bid-Ask Spread
868.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.